Tools
Riga
5:00 PM
August 6, 2026
Győri ETO
Prediction published on Aug 5, 2026 1:04 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 5, 2026 1:04 AM
Riga FC welcome Győri ETO on Thursday for the opening match of their two-legged UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying-round tie. Both clubs enter this stage after dropping out of the Champions League, making the fixture another opportunity to extend their European campaigns. The teams arrive with encouraging attacking records and identical 4-0 domestic victories on August 2, 2026: Riga defeated Grobiņa, while Győri ETO overcame Nyíregyháza Spartacus. The available competition ranking places Riga first and Győri ETO second, but the broader form figures suggest that neither side should expect a straightforward evening. Riga have won four of their last five matches, while the visitors are unbeaten across the same period. With a second leg still to come, the hosts will look to build an advantage without giving a productive away side opportunities to take control of the tie.
Riga FC approach the first leg after an emphatic 4-0 league success against Grobiņa. That result was their fourth victory in five matches, with the other game ending in defeat. Across that five-match sequence, Riga averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per fixture, underlining the attacking output that has driven their recent results.
The victory over Grobiņa also produced Riga’s first clean sheet in seven outings. Their defensive record therefore remains an important part of the pre-match discussion, even after the latest shutout. At the other end, the hosts have been consistently productive. They have scored at least once in each of their previous 16 home matches and in 30 of their last 32 fixtures overall. At least three goals were scored by Riga in each of the six matches referenced before this tie, while their previous Conference League round ended with an 8-4 aggregate win over Vardar.
Riga’s two Conference League matches this season have brought one victory and one defeat. Their averages in the competition stand at 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. The larger results sample is also positive, with Riga avoiding defeat in 26 of their last 28 matches. Goal activity has been regular at home: each of their previous 11 home fixtures produced more than 1.5 total goals, as did 30 of their last 32 matches across all venues. Riga have also led at half time in 18 of their last 26 games and in 10 of their previous 15 home appearances.
Győri ETO travel to this European qualifier in unbeaten form. Their 4-0 victory over Nyíregyháza Spartacus extended their current sequence to five matches without defeat, consisting of two wins and three draws. During those five fixtures, the Hungarian side averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Those numbers indicate that the visitors possess enough attacking production to challenge Riga, even though they have drawn more often than they have won during the sequence.
Győri ETO have played two Europa Conference League matches this season, recording one victory and one draw. Their competition averages are particularly notable: 3.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per fixture. They reached this round by eliminating Bissen 7-3 on aggregate, carrying a four-goal overall advantage from that tie. The visitors have also scored in 27 of their last 29 matches, matching a wider run in which they avoided defeat in 27 of 29 outings.
The away-side statistics show considerable resilience before Thursday’s match. Győri ETO have not been behind at half time in any of their last 19 away fixtures. Across all venues, they have avoided a half-time deficit in 33 of their previous 36 matches and have led at the interval in eight of the last 13. Their only defeat within the ten-match period described in the source material came in European competition, while they have secured four victories across those ten outings. That combination of regular scoring, limited defeats and frequent draws makes them a difficult opponent to dismiss.
This first leg brings together two teams whose strongest recent numbers are found in attack. Riga have scored in 30 of their last 32 matches and enter the contest after producing four goals against Grobiņa. Their 8-4 aggregate success over Vardar further demonstrates how eventful their previous Conference League tie became. Home form offers another source of confidence, with the Latvian side scoring in 16 consecutive matches on their own ground.
Győri ETO, however, have similarly strong scoring evidence behind them. They have found the net in 27 of their last 29 games, scored seven times across the Bissen tie and warmed up for this fixture with a four-goal domestic victory. Their average of 3.5 goals per Conference League match is higher than Riga’s current competition figure, while an unbeaten five-match run gives them a stable platform for the trip.
The defensive figures add uncertainty to the contest. Riga’s latest clean sheet was their first in seven games, and both teams have conceded an average of 1.4 goals across their last five matches. In this season’s Conference League, Riga are allowing 2.0 goals per game and Győri ETO 1.5. The hosts therefore have reason to use their scoring momentum assertively, but they must also limit the space available to a visiting team that has failed to score only twice in its last 29 fixtures.
Game management could
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Riga
Győri ETO
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
7
3
9
1