Riga host Jablonec in the Europa Conference League on November 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 local time at Stadions Skonto. Riga are ranked 21st in the competition, three places above their visitors. The hosts arrive unbeaten in their last five matches, while Jablonec are looking to respond to a heavy defeat in their most recent outing. Riga’s home record gives them a compelling case, but their latest match ended goalless, so the contest may depend on how quickly they turn territorial advantage into chances.

Riga’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Riga have recorded two wins and three draws across their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.0 per game in that stretch. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw against Ogre United on November 1, following a 5-2 win over Grobina. Before the draw, Riga had scored in 12 successive games, although they had registered more than two goals in only two of those matches.

In this season’s Europa Conference League, Riga’s record stands at three wins, four draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Those figures suggest a side that has been difficult to beat, even when its scoring output has been modest. The broader results reinforce that picture: Riga have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 matches.

Home form is another important part of the Riga vs Jablonec preview. Riga have scored at least once in each of their last 20 home matches and have lost only one of their last 20 fixtures at home. At the same time, their last 11 home Europa Conference League matches have all finished with under 3.5 total goals. That combination points to a reliable home scoring record without requiring a high-scoring game for Riga to take control.

Jablonec’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Jablonec travel after a 5-0 defeat against Slavia Praha on October 31. That result came after a 2-1 victory over Hradec Králové, illustrating how sharply their recent results have varied. Across their last five matches, they have one win, one draw and three defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game over that period.

The visitors’ wider Europa Conference League record is stronger than that short run: four wins, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those competition figures offer a counterweight to their recent form. Nevertheless, the five goals conceded against Slavia Praha make their defensive response a central question ahead of this trip.

Jablonec have scored nine goals across their past eight games, so finding a consistent attacking rhythm has also been a challenge. They face a Riga side that rarely loses at home and has scored in 20 consecutive home matches. For Jablonec, improving on the result against Slavia Praha will matter, but so will making their own chances count against hosts who have conceded an average of 1.0 goal in both their last five matches and their Europa Conference League campaign.

Riga vs Jablonec Match Analysis

The clearest contrast is between Riga’s resilience and Jablonec’s recent results. Riga are unbeaten in five and have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home games; Jablonec have lost three of their last five and conceded five in their latest match. Riga’s 0-0 draw with Ogre United shows that their home scoring run does not guarantee a goal in every fixture, but their longer home record still gives them a solid foundation for this match.

Goal trends are less straightforward. Riga’s last 11 home Europa Conference League fixtures have stayed under 3.5 total goals, and they scored more than twice in only two of the 12 games before their latest draw. On the other hand, Jablonec’s recent concession rate of 2.4 goals per match leaves room for Riga to create opportunities. Jablonec’s four wins in eight Europa Conference League matches also make it unwise to judge them solely by the Slavia Praha defeat.

For this Europa Conference League meeting, the strongest case is therefore built on results rather than an exact goal total. Riga have been consistently hard to beat, particularly at home, while Jablonec must recover from a difficult recent run. The visitors’ competition record shows they can compete, but Riga’s home scoring streak and superior recent form give the hosts the edge.

Riga vs Jablonec prediction from BetMines: Riga win (1) with 59% probability.