Tools
Rionegro Águilas
1 - 2
FT
Deportivo Pasto
Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 1:45 PM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 1:45 PM
The second round of the Colombian Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Águilas Doradas Rionegro and Deportivo Pasto, two sides that started the new season with positive results. The match will take place at the Estadio Alberto Grisales, where the home team will look to build on their solid record from last season. Both teams come into this encounter with confidence after avoiding defeat in their opening fixtures, setting the stage for a competitive and balanced contest.
Águilas Doradas began their 2026 Liga BetPlay campaign with a 1-1 draw away to Santa Fe on January 19. That result extended their consistent scoring run, as they have now found the net in each of their last 13 league matches and in 14 consecutive home games across all competitions. Their attacking reliability has been one of their main strengths, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five matches in all competitions.
At home, the “Equipo Dorado” have proven difficult to beat. They lost only once in their last six home fixtures of the previous season, showing a strong connection with their supporters at the Estadio Alberto Grisales. In the current campaign, they hold a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 defeats, with an average of one goal scored and one conceded per game. Their ability to maintain attacking consistency while tightening up defensively will be crucial if they aim to climb from their current 11th place in the standings.
Deportivo Pasto also started the season on a high note, defeating Independiente Medellín 1-0 at home on January 18. That victory reflected the momentum they built during pre-season, where they recorded four consecutive wins. The “Fuerza Tricolor” have shown a solid defensive structure, conceding just 0.6 goals per match in their last five outings, while averaging 1.6 goals scored per game.
However, their biggest challenge remains their away form. Pasto have not celebrated an away victory in their last 18 matches in all competitions, including 17 without a win in Liga BetPlay. Moreover, they have trailed at half time in 8 of their last 10 away games, a trend that highlights their struggles to start strongly on the road. Despite these numbers, the team’s recent reinforcements and improved morale could help them become more competitive away from home this season.
The recent meetings between Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pasto have been evenly contested. Their last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on October 13, 2025, while the overall record slightly favors Pasto with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in the last five head-to-heads. On average, these matches have produced 1.2 goals scored by Águilas and 1.4 conceded, suggesting a balanced but open dynamic whenever they meet.
Given the current form, the home side’s attacking consistency and Pasto’s defensive discipline could lead to a tight affair. Águilas Doradas will rely on their strong home record and ability to score in every match, while Pasto will aim to break their long away drought. The key battle may come down to which team can impose their rhythm early, as both have shown contrasting tendencies in first halves — Águilas often start aggressively, while Pasto tend to struggle before the break.
Statistically, this fixture points toward a cautious but competitive game. The probability model gives Águilas Doradas a 47% chance of winning, compared to 28% for a draw and 25% for a Deportivo Pasto victory. The goal markets suggest a moderate scoring expectation, with Under 2.5 goals favored at 58% probability, while Both Teams To Score – No stands at 54%.
Considering the home team’s scoring consistency and Pasto’s poor away record, Águilas Doradas appear slightly better positioned to take all three points. Their ability to maintain pressure at home and capitalize on Pasto’s slow starts could prove decisive in this second-round encounter of the Apertura.
Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs Deportivo Pasto prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rionegro Águilas
Deportivo Pasto
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3