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River Plate
2 - 0
FT
Gimnasia La Plata
Prediction published on Jan 27, 2026 12:05 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Jan 27, 2026 12:05 AM
The new season of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol continues with an exciting clash between River Plate and Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata. The match will take place at the Estadio Más Monumental, where the home side will look to build on their opening-round victory and regain confidence in front of their fans. After a difficult end to 2025, River are eager to turn their home form around, while Gimnasia arrive in Buenos Aires full of optimism following a strong start to the campaign.
River Plate began the 2026 Apertura with a narrow but valuable 1-0 win away to Barracas Central. That result allowed them to start the new year on the right foot after a disappointing finish to the previous season, when they lost four consecutive home matches and failed to score in the last two. The victory has lifted morale, but the pressure remains high to deliver in front of their supporters.
In their last five matches across all competitions, River have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their defensive structure has shown improvement, but the attack still needs to find consistency. In the current Liga Profesional campaign, they have a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and none conceded.
Recent trends at the Monumental suggest a cautious approach in the second half of games. There have been Under 1.5 goals in the second half in each of River’s last 11 home league matches, and only two of their last ten home fixtures have ended with no goals at all. These numbers highlight a team that often controls possession but struggles to convert chances into goals after the break.
Gimnasia La Plata started their 2026 campaign with an impressive 2-1 home win over Racing Club, confirming the good momentum they carried from the end of last season. The team from La Plata have now won six of their last seven matches, including four consecutive victories away from home. Their confidence is high, and they will aim to repeat their success from their last visit to the Monumental, when they defeated River in late 2025.
In their last five matches, Gimnasia have achieved 4 wins and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Their attacking efficiency has been notable, while their defense remains compact and disciplined. In the current league season, they hold a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Despite their attacking form, Gimnasia’s matches tend to stay within moderate scoring ranges. There have been Under 3.5 total goals in each of their last 20 away fixtures, and Under 1.5 goals in the second half in their last 17 away league games. Additionally, at least one team failed to score in the second half in 36 of their last 38 league matches, showing a pattern of tight defensive control after the break.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting styles and ambitions. River Plate will rely on their home advantage and the desire to end a poor run at the Monumental, while Gimnasia arrive with confidence and a strong record on the road. The visitors’ recent consistency suggests they will not be intimidated, but River’s defensive solidity could make this a balanced and tactical encounter.
Historically, River have had the upper hand in this matchup, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five meetings, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. However, Gimnasia’s victory in the most recent head-to-head adds intrigue to this contest. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring games, especially in the second half, which could influence the rhythm of play.
Given the current form and statistical trends, a cautious game with limited scoring opportunities seems likely. Gimnasia’s efficiency in front of goal could still make the difference, particularly if they manage to strike early as they have done in recent away matches.
River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
River Plate
Gimnasia La Plata
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2