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Prediction published on May 19, 2025 1:11 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on May 19, 2025 4:26 PM
At the Estadio Monumental, Marcelo Gallardo’s River Plate hosts Sergio Gómez’s Platense in the quarter-finals of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Apertura tournament. Los Millonarios earned their spot in the last eight after finishing second in Group B and defeating Barracas Central 3-0 in the Round of 16 on May 13, with goals from Paulo Díaz, Nacho Fernández, and Marcos Acuña. The 37-time Argentine champions are proving to be a goal-scoring machine this season, led by the creativity of Franco Mastantuono—already on the radar of top European clubs—and the finishing touch of Sebastián Driussi and Facundo Colidio. In addition to the Apertura, River Plate is also excelling in the Copa Libertadores, where they currently top their group and are already qualified for the Round of 16, and in the Copa Argentina. Moreover, like their historic rivals Boca Juniors, River Plate will also take part in the FIFA Club World Cup, which kicks off on June 15. Standing between them and a potential semi-final clash with the winner of San Lorenzo vs Argentinos Juniors is Platense—a familiar opponent from Group B of the Apertura. Gómez’s men reached this stage by beating Racing Club 1-0 away, underlining their defensive solidity. However, it will be a tough task for Platense to withstand River’s attacking power, especially considering the home side’s experience in knockout football and the relentless support of the 85,000 fans at the Monumental.
River Plate’s emphatic 6-2 victory over Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores—with goals from Driussi, Mastantuono, and Lanzini—marked their 15th consecutive match without defeat across all competitions (9 wins, 6 draws). In their last five matches, Gallardo’s side has recorded 5 straight wins, scoring 18 goals (3.6 goals per game) and conceding just 6 (1.2 per game).
They finished second in Group B, just behind Rosario, with 31 points from 8 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 21 goals and conceding 9 in 16 matches (1.31 goals scored and 0.56 conceded per game on average). At home, they have lost only once (0-2 to Estudiantes in March) and are unbeaten in their last 6 Liga Profesional home matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
Platense arrives after an impressive 1-0 win away at Racing Club, with Nicolás Orsini scoring the decisive goal five minutes from time to seal their quarter-final place. In their last five matches, Platense has picked up 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss—consistently delivering solid performances, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match.
They finished 6th in Group B with 23 points—8 fewer than River—thanks to 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. While their attack only managed 13 goals in 16 matches, their defense was one of the league’s best, conceding just 11 goals (0.68 per match). On the road since March, they’ve won 3 and lost 2, scoring 4 and conceding only 2 goals in that span.
River Plate and Platense have already faced each other twice this season, drawing both times: 0-0 in October and 1-1 in January. Prior to those, River Plate had a six-match winning streak against Platense, home and away, although all were closely contested.
For this Betano Apertura Playoff quarter-final, Gallardo’s team enters as strong favorites—not only due to historical dominance over Platense but also because of their outstanding current form, with just one defeat in all competitions in 2025.
Platense has shown great defensive organization, especially away from home, with three clean-sheet wins in their last five away games, including the knockout win over Racing Club. However, they now face a River Plate side that has scored 3+ goals in each of their last four games, making it extremely difficult to leave the Estadio Monumental unscathed.
For these reasons, the River Plate vs Platense prediction for the Liga Profesional Apertura quarter-final, according to the BetMines algorithm, clearly favors the home side.
RIVER PLATE (4-3-1-2): Armani; Bustos, Martínez Quarta, Díaz, Acuña; Castaño, Pérez, Fernández; Mastantuono; Driussi, Colidio. Manager: Marcelo Gallardo
PLATENSE (4-2-3-1): Cozzani; Saborido, Vázquez, Salomón, Silva; Herrera, Picco; Mainero, Taborda, Martínez; Lotti. Manager: Sergio Gómez
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
River Plate
Platense
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