Tools
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 1
FT
Jong AZ
Prediction published on Mar 11, 2026 8:09 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 11, 2026 8:09 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Jong AZ promises to be an entertaining encounter filled with attacking intent. Scheduled for March 13, this fixture pits the eighth-placed hosts against the eighteenth-placed visitors, two sides that have shown a clear tendency toward high-scoring matches throughout the season. Both teams have been involved in games with plenty of goals, and their recent form suggests that fans could be in for another lively contest.
RKC Waalwijk enter this match in solid shape, having collected 44 points from 30 matches. Their recent run has been mixed but encouraging, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings. The team’s attack has been consistent, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game while conceding 1.5. In their most recent fixture, RKC impressed with a 0-3 away victory over VVV-Venlo, showing both efficiency in front of goal and defensive discipline.
At home, RKC have been particularly reliable in finding the net. They have scored at least once in each of their last 18 home matches, and every one of their last 15 home games in the Eerste Divisie has featured at least one goal from them. Moreover, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 15 matches, underlining their attacking consistency. The team’s matches are rarely dull, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half occurring in 35 of their last 39 fixtures.
RKC’s offensive strength is spearheaded by Tim van der Leij, who has already netted 14 goals this season, 10 of which came in league play. His finishing ability and movement in the box make him a constant threat, especially against teams that struggle defensively away from home. With the home crowd behind them and a strong scoring record, RKC will look to maintain their momentum and close the gap on the teams above them in the standings.
Jong AZ have endured a more inconsistent campaign, sitting in 18th place with 30 points from 30 matches. Their last five games have produced one win, one draw, and three defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. In their most recent outing, they suffered a narrow 2-3 home defeat to FC Emmen, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility.
Despite their struggles, Jong AZ’s matches have been entertaining. Each of their last 13 Eerste Divisie fixtures has seen Over 1.5 goals, and the same trend applies to their last 10 away games. They are also a team that tends to produce action early, with Over 0.5 goals at half time recorded in 29 of their last 32 league matches. However, their defensive lapses have cost them points, as they have lost at half time in their last three league games and have failed to draw in 20 of their last 21 matches.
Up front, Sem van Duijn has been the standout performer, scoring 10 goals this season, nine of them in the Eerste Divisie. His sharpness in front of goal gives Jong AZ a fighting chance in any match, but the team’s defensive record—averaging two goals conceded per game—remains a major concern. If they can tighten up at the back, they have the attacking tools to trouble RKC’s defense.
The recent history between these two sides suggests another open contest. In their last five meetings, RKC Waalwijk have won three times, drawn once, and lost once, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their most recent encounter ended in a 2-3 result on August 11, 2025, a match that perfectly illustrated the attacking nature of this fixture.
Both teams favor an offensive approach, often prioritizing forward play over defensive solidity. RKC’s home form and scoring consistency make them slight favorites, but Jong AZ’s ability to find the net away from home ensures that this will not be a one-sided affair. Given that both sides have been involved in matches with Over 2.5 goals in recent weeks, another high-scoring game seems likely.
With both sides showing attacking flair and defensive vulnerabilities, this fixture has all the ingredients for a goal-filled encounter. RKC’s home advantage and superior league position could give them the edge, but Jong AZ’s unpredictability means they cannot be underestimated.
Considering the offensive trends and the statistical patterns from both teams, the BetMines prediction points toward a match with plenty of goals. The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals, supported by a 65% probability. Both teams have been consistent in producing high-scoring games, and their recent head-to-head record reinforces this expectation.
RKC Waalwijk vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
RKC Waalwijk
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
3
7
6
4
4.5
6
4
7
3