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RKC Waalwijk
2 - 2
FT
Jong FC Utrecht
Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 5:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 5:04 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie resumes on Saturday, January 10, with an intriguing clash between RKC Waalwijk and Jong FC Utrecht in the 22nd round of the season. Both sides return to action after the winter break, eager to start the new year on a positive note. RKC, recently relegated from the Eredivisie, will look to reassert their promotion ambitions, while Jong FC Utrecht aim to continue their encouraging campaign and climb further up the table.
RKC Waalwijk ended the first half of the season on a high, recording a 0-9 victory in the KNVB Cup against HSC’21 and a 0-2 league win over Jong Ajax. Despite those results, their overall form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches. The team currently sits 10th in the Eerste Divisie standings with 29 points, having registered 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses so far. Their goal statistics show balance: an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
At home, RKC have been reliable in attack, scoring at least once in each of their last 13 home fixtures. Their matches tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored before half-time in 18 of their last 20 home games. The team also tends to start strong, having led at half-time in 6 of their last 10 home encounters. However, defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points, as seen in defeats to Vitesse, VVV-Venlo, and Jong PSV before the winter break.
These numbers underline RKC’s attacking intent but also highlight their vulnerability at the back. Playing at home could give them the edge, especially given their ability to find the net early and often.
Jong FC Utrecht have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season, sitting 13th with 26 points after 21 matches. Their recent form has been encouraging, with 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last five outings. They closed 2025 with a 1-3 loss to Roda JC, but before that, they secured victories over FC Den Bosch (3-2), FC Dordrecht (1-2), and Jong AZ (1-4). The team’s attacking output has been impressive, averaging 2.4 goals scored per match in their last five games, though they also concede an average of 2.0 goals.
Defensively, Jong FC Utrecht have struggled away from home, conceding at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. Their matches tend to open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away games. Despite these defensive issues, their attacking approach often keeps them competitive, and they have managed to score in most of their recent away trips.
While their away record remains inconsistent, Jong FC Utrecht’s attacking form gives them a fighting chance in Waalwijk. Their ability to score multiple goals on the road could make this fixture more competitive than the league table suggests.
The previous meeting between these two sides ended 2-0 in favor of RKC Waalwijk back in September 2025. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with both teams winning twice and one draw in their last five encounters. This time, both sides enter the match with similar scoring averages and defensive weaknesses, suggesting another open contest could be on the cards.
RKC’s home advantage and attacking consistency make them slight favorites, but Jong FC Utrecht’s recent scoring form cannot be ignored. Given that both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, goals are expected at both ends. The data also points toward a lively second half, as both sides tend to find the net after the break.
According to the latest probabilities, RKC Waalwijk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw stands at 21%, and Jong FC Utrecht’s win probability is 23%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 64%, while the Over 2.5 goals market also shows a strong 64% probability.
Considering the attacking trends and defensive fragilities on both sides, this fixture promises entertainment and goals. RKC will aim to capitalize on their home form, but Jong FC Utrecht’s offensive momentum could make this a close and unpredictable battle.
RKC Waalwijk vs Jong FC Utrecht prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
RKC Waalwijk
Jong FC Utrecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
6
4
9
1