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RKC Waalwijk
6:00 PM
August 28, 2026
Jong PSV
Prediction published on Aug 26, 2026 6:17 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Aug 26, 2026 6:17 PM
RKC Waalwijk host Jong PSV at the Mandemakers Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on August 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The home side enter this fixture in 14th place after drawing each of their opening three league matches, while seventh-placed Jong PSV have collected two victories from three games. Both teams have scored regularly at the beginning of the season, and their recent head-to-head record also points towards an entertaining match in Waalwijk.
RKC Waalwijk are still searching for their first Eerste Divisie victory of the season, but they also remain unbeaten after three rounds. Their campaign began with a 1-1 draw against Vitesse before a 2-2 home result against Dordrecht. They then shared the points with Helmond Sport in another 1-1 draw on August 21. That sequence leaves RKC with a league record of zero wins, three draws and zero defeats.
The three opening results reveal a consistent pattern. RKC have found the net in every league game, yet they have also conceded on each occasion. Their season averages stand at 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Across their latest five fixtures, they have registered one victory, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against.
The longer-term scoring figures are particularly striking. RKC have scored at least once in each of their last 25 Eerste Divisie matches, while they have also found the net in 30 of their latest 31 games across the available sequence. Their home output is similarly reliable, with at least one RKC goal recorded in each of their previous 16 home league fixtures.
Matches involving the hosts have repeatedly produced more than a single goal. Over 1.5 total goals landed in their last 24 Eerste Divisie games, their previous 11 home league matches and 29 of their latest 30 fixtures overall. There has also been at least one first-half goal in each of RKC's last 11 league games and at least one second-half goal in their previous 10 matches. However, RKC have been behind at half-time in each of their last three Eerste Divisie appearances, giving them another trend to address.
Jong PSV have made the stronger start in terms of victories. They opened their league campaign by defeating FC Volendam 3-2, suffered a 3-1 away loss to Almere City and responded with a 1-0 win against TOP Oss on August 24. Their six points from nine place them seventh ahead of the trip to Waalwijk.
The visitors therefore have a season record of two wins and one defeat, with no draws. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per league match. Over their latest five games, Jong PSV have recorded two wins and three losses while averaging 1.6 goals for and 2.6 against. Those numbers underline both their ability to contribute in attack and the possibility of opponents creating scoring opportunities.
Decisive results have become a defining feature of Jong PSV's recent record. They have avoided a draw in 24 of their last 25 Eerste Divisie matches, and the same statistic applies to their latest 25 games overall. Their away fixtures have also started quickly: at least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their previous 13 away league matches.
Another notable away trend concerns corners, with over 8.5 recorded in 18 of Jong PSV's last 20 Eerste Divisie trips. For this preview, however, the goal statistics carry greater weight. Two of their first three league fixtures produced four or more total goals, while their most recent match showed that they can also protect a narrow advantage and finish with a clean sheet.
The contrast between RKC's repeated draws and Jong PSV's tendency to produce decisive outcomes gives this fixture an intriguing shape. RKC Waalwijk have been difficult to beat, but their inability to keep a clean sheet has prevented them from turning positive attacking performances into victories. Jong PSV, meanwhile, have already experienced both sides of high-scoring matches, beating FC Volendam 3-2 before losing 3-1 to Almere City.
Recent meetings strengthen the expectation of goals. Jong PSV won three of the last four encounters mentioned in the available record, including a 5-3 success in 2018. Last season's two meetings delivered eight goals in total: Jong PSV won 3-1 at home before RKC answered with a 4-1 victory in Waalwijk on April 24, 2026. The five head-to-head matches before those two also finished with more than 2.5 total goals.
Across the supplied head-to-head summary, RKC have two wins and Jong PSV have three, with no draws. RKC averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded in that sequence, meaning the meetings averaged five total goals. Although historical results cannot determine what happens next, they fit closely with the current scoring trends surrounding both sides.
The statistical probabilities provide further context. RKC are assigned a 48% win probability, compared with 31% for Jong PSV and 21% for the draw. The hosts are therefore favored, but the goal markets present the clearer overall theme: both teams to score is rated at 66%, while over 2.5 goals also carries a 66% probability. In addition, the chance of over 0.5 first-half goals is listed at 82%, matching the long runs of early goals in RKC's league games and Jong PSV's away fixtures.
RKC's sustained scoring record, their three consecutive league matches without a clean sheet and Jong PSV's average of 1.7 goals at both ends all support the prospect of an open contest. The repeated high-scoring head-to-head outcomes add another layer to that assessment. With both teams having clear routes to goal and recent meetings regularly moving beyond two total goals, the over 2.5 goals selection is the most coherent conclusion.
RKC Waalwijk vs Jong PSV prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
RKC Waalwijk
Jong PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
10
0
7
3