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RKC Waalwijk
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Roda JC Kerkrade
Prediction published on Feb 11, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 11, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Roda JC Kerkrade promises to be one of the most entertaining fixtures of the round. Scheduled for Friday, February 13, 2026, this encounter brings together two sides currently sitting next to each other in the standings — RKC in eighth place and Roda in sixth. With only two points separating them, both teams will be eager to secure a result that strengthens their position in the upper half of the table. Recent performances suggest that goals are almost guaranteed, as both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches throughout the season.
RKC Waalwijk experienced a setback last weekend, falling 2-1 to Willem II after a solid run of four unbeaten games. During that stretch, they drew with FC Dordrecht (1-1) and FC Utrecht (2-2), while defeating De Graafschap (2-4) and TOP Oss (2-0). Despite the recent loss, their attacking consistency remains a strong point — they have scored in each of their last 12 matches and in all of their last 16 home games. In fact, at least one goal has been scored by RKC in 20 of their last 21 Eerste Divisie fixtures, underlining their offensive reliability.
Across the season, RKC’s record stands at 10 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their last five outings have produced two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Matches involving RKC have consistently delivered entertainment, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 11 games. Playing at home, they tend to start aggressively, often finding the net early and maintaining pressure throughout the match.
Roda JC Kerkrade come into this fixture after a heavy 0-3 home defeat against ADO Den Haag. Before that, they had drawn with Jong Ajax (2-2) and VVV (2-2), lost to TOP Oss (1-2), and claimed a 1-2 away win at Almere City. Their recent form shows one win, two draws, and two defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Despite some defensive fragility, Roda remain one of the most attack-minded teams in the league.
Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 21 of their last 22 matches, and in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie fixtures. They also tend to produce lively second halves — at least one goal has been scored after the break in 36 of their last 39 matches. With a season record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, Roda’s campaign mirrors RKC’s in many ways, both in terms of results and goal averages (1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded). Their ability to find the net away from home could make this a very open contest.
The previous meeting between these two sides ended 1-4 in favor of Roda JC Kerkrade on September 19, 2025. Historically, their encounters have been balanced, with RKC winning twice, drawing once, and losing twice in their last five head-to-heads. The average goals in these meetings stand at 2.8 per match, suggesting that both teams tend to play open football when facing each other.
Given their current form and attacking tendencies, another high-scoring affair seems likely. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities but compensate with strong offensive play. RKC’s home advantage and consistent scoring record could give them a slight edge, but Roda’s ability to score away from home ensures that this fixture remains unpredictable. Fans can expect an end-to-end battle with plenty of goalmouth action.
All indicators point toward a match filled with goals. Both sides have been involved in fixtures surpassing the 2.5-goal mark regularly, and their recent statistics reinforce that trend. RKC’s attacking rhythm at home and Roda’s offensive approach on the road make this a perfect recipe for an entertaining contest. The balance between the two teams in the standings adds further intrigue, as a win for either side could significantly impact their push for promotion playoff positions.
Considering the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this Eerste Divisie clash is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% probability. Both teams have shown a consistent pattern of high-scoring games, and this encounter should be no exception.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
RKC Waalwijk
Roda JC Kerkrade
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
3
7
8
2
4.5
6
4
10
0