Tools
Roda JC Kerkrade
2 - 0
FT
Almere City
Prediction published on Oct 18, 2025 8:08 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 19, 2025 12:07 AM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie continues on Monday, October 20, with an intriguing clash between Roda JC Kerkrade and Almere City FC. This fixture marks the twelfth round of the Dutch second tier, and both sides enter the match with contrasting ambitions. Roda JC, currently sitting fourth in the standings, aim to maintain their strong start and keep pressure on the top three. Almere City, on the other hand, are struggling to find consistency after their relegation last season and will be desperate to turn things around.
Roda JC have been one of the most consistent teams in the Eerste Divisie so far. They come into this match after a resounding 6-0 victory over FC Den Bosch on October 17, a result that underlined their attacking power and confidence at home. Over their last five matches, the Limburg side have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Roda JC’s attacking rhythm has been particularly impressive in the second half of games, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 20 of their last 22 league fixtures. This trend highlights their ability to grow into matches and finish strongly. Playing at home has also been a major advantage, as the team has shown great composure and efficiency in front of their supporters. With seven points separating them from league leaders ADO Den Haag, Roda JC know that every home fixture is crucial if they want to remain in the promotion race.
Almere City FC have endured a difficult start to life back in the Eerste Divisie following their relegation. They currently occupy 13th place with 11 points from 11 matches, and their recent form has been far from convincing. The Flevoland side are winless in their last four games, drawing against Vitesse (2-2) and SC Cambuur (1-1), while suffering defeats to De Graafschap (3-2) and Helmond Sport (2-1). Their last victory dates back several weeks, and the lack of defensive stability has been a recurring issue.
Despite their struggles, Almere City have shown flashes of attacking potential, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game this season. However, their defense remains vulnerable, conceding 1.6 goals per match. Away from home, the team’s record is particularly concerning: they have lost at half time in their last four away fixtures and have failed to win any of their recent trips. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of their last 13 away matches, suggesting that their games tend to open up early.
Almere City’s head-to-head record against Roda JC is slightly favorable, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings. Their most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Almere City on February 24, 2023. However, given their current form and defensive fragility, repeating that result will be a major challenge.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different dynamics. Roda JC are in excellent form, combining attacking flair with growing defensive solidity, while Almere City are still searching for balance and consistency. The hosts have been particularly effective at home, where their offensive transitions and set-piece execution have often made the difference. Their recent 6-0 triumph over Den Bosch showcased their ability to dominate weaker opponents and maintain intensity throughout the match.
Almere City, meanwhile, will need to tighten their defensive lines and avoid the lapses that have cost them points in recent weeks. Their attacking duo has shown promise, but the team’s tendency to concede early goals has repeatedly forced them to chase games. Given Roda JC’s strong second-half performances and Almere’s poor away record, the visitors will likely face sustained pressure after the interval.
Historically, matches between these two sides have produced goals, with both teams averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded in their head-to-head encounters. Considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities, another open and entertaining contest could be on the cards.
The most likely outcome is a Roda JC Kerkrade win (1) with a 50% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 23%, while an Almere City FC win (2) stands at 27%.
Additionally, the attacking form of both sides suggests a lively encounter, with Over 2.5 goals also holding a 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roda JC Kerkrade
Almere City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
7
3
1
9
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
10
0
7
3