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Roda JC Kerkrade
7:00 PM
October 27, 2026
De Graafschap
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 3:55 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 3:55 PM
Roda JC Kerkrade host De Graafschap in the first round of the KNVB Beker on October 27, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 local time at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in Kerkrade. The teams arrive with contrasting league records: Roda JC have 22 points from 12 Keuken Kampioen Divisie matches, ten more than De Graafschap. Yet both have scored 15 league goals, and the visitors have begun to collect points after a difficult start. Roda JC come into the cup tie after a 3-2 win over Almere City, while De Graafschap drew 1-1 with RKC Waalwijk on October 23. With a place in the next round at stake, the match offers both sides a chance to build on their recent results.
Roda JC Kerkrade are fifth in the Keuken Kampioen Divisie with 22 points. Their latest outing brought an important 3-2 victory over Almere City, a side that also had 22 points and stood fourth in the league at the time. Roda JC's three-goal return was unusual in the context of their season: they have scored 15 times in 12 league appearances. That result nevertheless gives them a positive lead-in to their opening KNVB Beker fixture.
Anthony van den Hurk scored all three of Roda JC's goals against Almere City. His five league goals account for a third of the team's total, underlining his contribution even though Roda JC have not regularly produced three-goal performances. Across their last five matches, the home side have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Those recent figures point to a stronger attacking return than their 15-goal total across 12 league matches, although they have also conceded in their latest victory.
The home side's ten-point advantage over De Graafschap provides one measure of their league progress, but it does not settle this cup meeting. Roda JC will be looking to carry the momentum of the Almere City win into a match against opponents whose recent results have also improved. Van den Hurk's hat-trick was decisive last time out; the question for this preview is whether Roda JC can again turn their chances into goals against a visiting side that has conceded frequently in the league.
De Graafschap are 16th in the Keuken Kampioen Divisie with 12 points. Their start to the season was poor, but their last seven matches have yielded three wins and two draws. The latest of those draws was a 1-1 result against RKC Waalwijk on October 23. Over their most recent five games, De Graafschap have taken two wins and two draws alongside one defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.2.
The visitors have scored 15 league goals, the same total as Roda JC, but have conceded 26. Julian Kania has contributed five goals, making him an important part of their attacking record, although he has not been able to start in recent weeks. De Graafschap's wider scoring run is notable: they have found the net in 25 of their last 27 matches. That record gives them a clear attacking reference point for this trip without depending on any assumption about who will start.
Goals have also been a persistent feature of De Graafschap's cup matches. Their last 13 KNVB Beker games have each produced more than 1.5 total goals, while the second half has featured at least one goal in their last ten matches in the competition. Across all competitions, their last 14 games have each contained a first-half goal. These are match-goal trends rather than figures for De Graafschap's goals alone, but they show how regularly their fixtures have seen the score change.
Roda JC's league points advantage and recent win give the hosts reasons for confidence, but De Graafschap's improvement makes this first-round tie less straightforward than the standings alone suggest. The teams have identical 15-goal totals in league play, while their last-five-match scoring averages are close: 1.6 for Roda JC and 1.4 for De Graafschap. Both have conceded an average of 1.2 goals across those same five-game spans.
The recent head-to-head record is balanced, with Roda JC registering two wins, one draw and two defeats in the five meetings covered by the supplied summary. The last meeting finished 2-3 on December 12, 2025. That score offers a reminder that this fixture has produced goals, although one previous result cannot determine how the cup tie will unfold. Roda JC's latest 3-2 win and De Graafschap's 1-1 draw likewise illustrate different routes by which each side has recently found the net.
For the home team, the main contrast is between an attack that has scored only 15 goals in 12 league games and a fresh three-goal performance led by Van den Hurk. For the visitors, the key figures are their scoring record in 25 of 27 matches and the 26 goals they have conceded in the league. De Graafschap's long-running KNVB Beker goal trends add to the case for an eventful contest, though they do not specify which team scored in those matches. Taken together, the recent scoring averages and defensive records make goals at both ends a coherent possibility, even as Roda JC enter with the stronger league points total.
Roda JC Kerkrade vs De Graafschap prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roda JC Kerkrade
De Graafschap
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
2
8
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2