Roda JC Kerkrade’s hopes of returning directly to the Eredivisie have taken a serious hit in recent weeks. The Limburg side have dropped valuable points and slipped down the Eerste Divisie table. On Friday, they will host Jong AZ at the Parkstad Limburg Stadion, looking to end a worrying winless streak and reignite their promotion ambitions.

Roda JC Kerkrade: Recent Form and Key Stats

Roda JC Kerkrade currently sit sixth in the Eerste Divisie standings with 28 points from 18 matches. Despite a solid start to the season, their recent form has been disappointing. The 0-0 draw away at MVV Maastricht on November 30 marked their fifth consecutive match without a win. During this run, they suffered defeats against FC Dordrecht (1-2) and ADO Den Haag (4-0), while drawing with Jong FC Utrecht (1-1) and FC Emmen (1-1).

Across their last five fixtures, Roda JC have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, underlining their current struggles in front of goal. Over the course of the season, however, their record remains balanced with 7 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 1.3. The team’s home form has been more reliable, but the lack of recent victories has raised concerns among supporters.

Interestingly, Roda JC’s matches tend to come alive after the break: there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in 27 of their last 30 games, a trend that continues in their Eerste Divisie fixtures. This pattern suggests that the Limburgers often find or concede goals late, making their second halves particularly eventful.

Jong AZ: Recent Form and Key Stats

Jong AZ travel to Kerkrade sitting 17th in the table with 17 points from 18 matches. The young side from Alkmaar have endured a tough campaign, losing four of their last five games. Their only success in that stretch came in a 1-3 away win at MVV Maastricht. Since then, they have fallen to FC Eindhoven (0-2), VVV-Venlo (0-2), TOP Oss (0-1), and most recently FC Emmen (4-2).

Despite their low position, Jong AZ have shown flashes of attacking potential, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per match in their last five outings. Over the season, they have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. Their defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, especially away from home, where they often struggle to maintain consistency.

However, Jong AZ’s away matches tend to be lively affairs. In their last four away fixtures, both teams have scored by half-time, and over 0.5 goals in the first half have been recorded in 18 of their last 20 away games. This indicates that the visitors usually start games on the front foot, even if they struggle to sustain their performance over 90 minutes.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs Jong AZ: Match Analysis and Outlook

Friday’s clash brings together two sides desperate to rediscover winning form. Roda JC are enduring a difficult spell, having failed to win in five consecutive matches, while Jong AZ have lost four of their last five. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, which could lead to an open and unpredictable encounter.

Historically, matches between these sides have been high-scoring. Their most recent head-to-head ended in a 3-3 draw on February 7, 2025, and across their last five meetings, Roda JC have scored an average of 1.8 goals while conceding 2.2. The home side will be eager to take advantage of Jong AZ’s defensive issues, while the visitors will look to exploit Roda’s current lack of confidence.

Given the attacking tendencies of both teams and their recent defensive lapses, another goal-filled contest could be on the cards. Roda JC’s home advantage might give them a slight edge, but Jong AZ’s ability to score away from home means the outcome remains finely balanced.

BetMines Prediction: Roda JC Kerkrade vs Jong AZ

The most likely outcome is a Roda JC Kerkrade win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 21%, while a Jong AZ win (2) stands at 28%.