Tools
Roda JC Kerkrade
1 - 1
FT
Jong PSV
Prediction published on Oct 7, 2026 6:18 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 7, 2026 6:18 PM
Roda JC Kerkrade host Jong PSV in the Eerste Divisie on Friday, October 9, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Roda enter the fixture sixth after taking 15 points from nine matches, while Jong PSV are 12th with 12 points from the same number of games. The hosts have produced several tight results, but their visitors arrive with a more open scoring record. That contrast makes this Roda JC Kerkrade vs Jong PSV match preview a question of which pattern will carry into the next round.
Roda JC Kerkrade have recorded four wins, three draws and two defeats in their first nine Eerste Divisie matches. They average 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game, figures that reflect the narrow margins in many of their results. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat away to VVV-Venlo on October 4, interrupting a five-match sequence that still stands at two wins, two draws and one loss.
The scores behind that run underline why Roda's matches have often been close. They drew 1-1 with MVV Maastricht and 0-0 with Jong Ajax, while victories over Vitesse and RKC Waalwijk finished 1-0 and 2-0 respectively. Across their last five games, Roda have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. All five finished with fewer than three total goals, although that trend describes past results rather than guaranteeing another low-scoring match against Jong PSV.
There is also an important first-half distinction in Roda's home record. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in each of their last 12 home Eerste Divisie matches. That statistic concerns total match goals, not necessarily goals scored by Roda. It suggests that their recent low full-time scores should not automatically be read as evidence of quiet opening halves at home.
Jong PSV have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine league fixtures. They average 1.6 goals scored per match, but have also conceded 1.8 on average. Their last five matches have brought one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Compared with Roda's recent figures, Jong PSV's results point to more goals at both ends of the pitch.
Results on the road have nevertheless been difficult for the visitors. They have not won any of their last five away matches listed in the available record, drawing 1-1 with Sunderland U21 and 2-2 with RKC Waalwijk. The other three ended in 3-1 defeats to Almere City FC, Helmond Sport and Vitesse. The loss to Vitesse came on September 19. Those scores show that Jong PSV found a goal in every one of those five away games, but also conceded in each of them.
The first-half away statistics are particularly striking. At least one goal has been scored before the break in each of Jong PSV's last 16 away Eerste Divisie matches. In their last four away league games, both teams scored in the first half. As with Roda's home sequence, the 16-match figure refers to total goals in the game rather than goals scored solely by Jong PSV.
Roda's higher league position and stronger recent defensive average give the home side a clear point of comparison, but Jong PSV's scoring and conceding rates complicate a straightforward reading of the fixture. Roda have conceded an average of 0.6 goals over their last five matches; Jong PSV have conceded 1.8 over the same span. The contrast may test whether the hosts can maintain their run of tight scorelines against opponents whose recent matches have been less contained.
The supplied head-to-head summary gives Roda JC Kerkrade four wins and Jong PSV one win, with no draws, across five meetings. It lists Roda's averages in those games at 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The latest meeting finished 0-2 on March 6, 2026. Those results offer context, but the current home and away trends may be more useful when considering how Friday's match could begin.
There are competing signals in the full-time goal totals: Roda's last five games all stayed below three goals, whereas Jong PSV's recent away scores have frequently gone beyond that mark. The clearer shared theme is the timing of goals. Roda's 12-match home sequence and Jong PSV's 16-match away sequence both feature a first-half goal in every game. While neither streak ensures a repeat, together they make the opening 45 minutes a key focus of this Eerste Divisie preview.
Roda JC Kerkrade vs Jong PSV prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 84% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roda JC Kerkrade
Jong PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
10
0