Roda JC Kerkrade welcome NAC Breda for an Eerste Divisie fixture on August 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. The teams have made almost identical starts to the league campaign, recording two wins and one defeat across their opening three matches. Roda enter the contest in sixth place, while NAC are eighth. With both sides seeking a third league victory, this Roda JC Kerkrade vs NAC Breda preview points toward a closely contested game between two teams separated by little in terms of their early results.

The recent head-to-head record adds another compelling element to the fixture. The last five meetings covered by the available summary produced two Roda wins, three NAC victories and no draws. Roda averaged 1.8 goals scored but conceded 2.8 per match across that sequence. Their most recent encounter, played on May 17, 2024, ended in a decisive 0-5 victory for NAC Breda. In addition, each of the last four meetings featured more than 2.5 total goals, establishing a clear high-scoring pattern before this latest match.

Roda JC Kerkrade Recent Form and Key Statistics

Roda JC Kerkrade began their Eerste Divisie season with a narrow 1-0 defeat away to FC Emmen. They responded positively in their next appearance, beating Helmond Sport 2-1 at home, before earning another victory by the smallest possible margin against FC Dordrecht. That latest match, played on August 21, finished 0-1 in Roda's favour and gave them consecutive league wins following their opening setback.

Roda's league record now stands at two wins, no draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded per game in the Eerste Divisie, figures that underline how narrow their opening matches have been. All three of their league results were decided by a single goal, so their ability to manage fine margins has already been important.

Across their last five matches, Roda have collected three victories and suffered two defeats, without recording a draw. Their averages over that broader run are balanced at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Although those numbers do not indicate consistently high-scoring contests, the home side have found a way to win their last two league fixtures and arrive with useful momentum.

• Eerste Divisie record: two wins, no draws and one defeat.
• Season averages: 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
• Last five matches: three wins and two defeats.
• Latest result: a 0-1 victory against FC Dordrecht.

NAC Breda Recent Form and Key Statistics

NAC Breda also opened the campaign with an away victory, defeating TOP Oss 1-2. Their first loss followed in the next round as VVV-Venlo claimed a 0-2 win against them. NAC quickly returned to winning ways on August 22, overcoming Jong Ajax 3-2 in a match that contained five goals. Like Roda, they therefore have two victories and one defeat from their first three league games.

NAC have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per Eerste Divisie match this season. Those figures are notably higher than Roda's corresponding averages and reflect the more open nature of NAC's early fixtures. Two of their three league matches have finished with at least three total goals, while the 3-2 win over Jong Ajax demonstrated both their scoring capacity and their vulnerability at the other end.

The away side's last-five-match profile is also perfectly balanced in terms of results, with three wins, no draws and two defeats. During that sequence, NAC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The absence of a draw across both teams' respective five-match records is another sign that their recent games have generally produced a decisive outcome.

• Eerste Divisie record: two wins, no draws and one defeat.
• Season averages: 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
• Last five matches: three wins and two defeats.
• Latest result: a 3-2 victory against Jong Ajax.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs NAC Breda Match Analysis

The result probabilities illustrate how finely balanced this match appears. Roda JC Kerkrade have a 42% win probability, compared with 34% for NAC Breda and 25% for the draw. That gives the hosts a modest statistical advantage, but it is not large enough to make the outcome straightforward. NAC's 0-5 success in the latest head-to-head meeting also provides a reminder that they have previously enjoyed significant success in this fixture.

The goals markets offer a stronger and more consistent theme. The probability of Over 2.5 goals is 58%, with Under 2.5 assessed at 42%. Both Teams To Score carries the same 58% probability, compared with 42% for No. These percentages align with NAC's season averages, their five-goal contest against Jong Ajax and the attacking pattern established by the recent meetings between the clubs.

Roda's matches have been tighter so far, and they have conceded an average of only 0.7 goals per league game. However, the head-to-head history has not followed that restrained pattern. Each of the previous four encounters went beyond 2.5 goals, while the five-match summary gives a combined average of 4.6 goals per meeting from Roda's perspective. The last clash alone produced five goals, all scored by NAC.

Roda approach the contest after consecutive victories and have the stronger win probability, whereas NAC bring the higher scoring and conceding averages. That contrast could shape the game: the home team have recently succeeded in close matches, but the visitors' league fixtures have tended to contain more goalmouth action. With both teams having won two of their opening three league games and both carrying three victories from their last five matches, neither side enters short of positive results.

Overall, the clearest statistical direction is toward goals rather than a decisive preference in the match-result market. The combination of four consecutive head-to-head games featuring more than 2.5 goals, NAC's 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per league match, and equal 58% probabilities for Over 2.5 and Both Teams To Score supports the expectation of an open contest. Roda's more controlled season figures provide a counterpoint, but the available evidence still gives the higher-scoring outcome the stronger case.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs NAC Breda prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability.