Roda JC Kerkrade host RKC Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on September 26, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. The home side enter the fixture in eighth place after collecting three wins, three draws and one defeat, while fourth-placed RKC remain unbeaten with three victories and four draws. Both teams have produced positive recent results, but their approaches have generated contrasting numbers. Roda have been difficult to beat while averaging only 1.0 goal scored across their last five matches. RKC, meanwhile, have found another level in attack, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game during the same period. The visitors are coming off a commanding 6-1 win over MVV Maastricht, whereas Roda most recently played out a goalless draw with Jong Ajax. With Roda defending consistently and RKC carrying substantial attacking momentum, this fixture brings together two undefeated recent runs.

Roda JC Kerkrade Recent Form and Key Statistics

Roda JC Kerkrade have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Their victories over FC Dordrecht and Vitesse were both narrow, ending 1-0, while the draws came against NAC Breda, MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax. The latest of those results was the 0-0 draw with Jong Ajax on September 18.

Those results underline Roda's defensive stability. They have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per match across their last five appearances, allowing them to keep collecting points even without producing high-scoring performances. Their attacking average over that sequence stands at 1.0 goal per game. The broader league record follows a similar pattern: three wins, three draws and one defeat, accompanied by averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded.

Although recent Roda matches have generally been controlled, the first-half statistics at home point toward early action. At least one opening-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 11 home matches in the Eerste Divisie. Corners have also been a recurring feature of their fixtures, with more than 7.5 corners registered in 28 of their last 30 matches overall and in 25 of their last 27 league games.

• Last five matches: two wins, three draws and no defeats.
• Recent scoring average: 1.0 goal per match.
• Recent defensive average: 0.6 goals conceded per match.
• League record: three wins, three draws and one defeat.

RKC Waalwijk Recent Form and Key Statistics

RKC Waalwijk travel to Kerkrade as the only team described as still unbeaten in the competition. Four consecutive draws opened their campaign, but their results have since improved considerably. They have won their last three matches, defeating NAC Breda 4-2, Jong Ajax 2-0 and MVV Maastricht 6-1. That run gives the visitors three victories and two draws from their latest five fixtures.

The attacking output across those five matches has been particularly notable. RKC have averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their full Eerste Divisie record stands at three wins and four draws, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.3 allowed. Although the four draws prevented them from taking maximum points earlier in the campaign, their current three-match winning sequence provides a stronger platform for this away assignment.

RKC's scoring consistency extends well beyond the latest results. They have scored at least once in their last 29 Eerste Divisie matches and in 34 of their last 35 games across the supplied sequence. Their away numbers are similarly reliable: RKC have found the net in their last 18 away matches, including each of their last 14 on the road in the league.

Total-goal trends also indicate that RKC fixtures rarely remain completely closed. More than 1.5 goals have been scored in their last 28 league matches and in 33 of their last 34 games overall. The same total has been reached in their last 18 away fixtures and in each of the last 14 league away matches. At least one second-half goal has also been recorded in RKC's last 14 matches, including their last 10 Eerste Divisie appearances.

• Last five matches: three wins, two draws and no defeats.
• Recent scoring average: 3.0 goals per match.
• League scoring average: 2.6 goals per match.
• Current league record: three wins and four draws.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs RKC Waalwijk Match Analysis

The central question is whether Roda's disciplined recent defending can contain an RKC attack that has scored 12 times across its last three reported victories. The hosts have conceded only three goals on average across the equivalent five-match sample, while the visitors have consistently scored both at home and away. That contrast should shape the contest: Roda have shown that they can remain competitive in tight games, but RKC arrive with a much higher scoring average.

The latest head-to-head meeting finished 1-1 on May 1, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Roda's perspective, the record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The current win probabilities also show a relatively competitive matchup, assigning 34% to Roda, 26% to the draw and 41% to RKC.

Several goal markets receive statistical support. Both teams scoring is rated at 60%, while the probability for over 2.5 total goals is 58%. However, the most consistent pattern concerns the opening 45 minutes. Roda's last 11 home league matches have all contained at least one first-half goal. For RKC, 18 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie matches have also produced a goal before the interval, and they have led at half-time in nine of their last 15 league games.

Roda's unbeaten five-match sequence and low concession rate suggest that RKC may not enjoy the same freedom they found in the 6-1 victory over MVV Maastricht. Even so, the visitors' long scoring streak and three consecutive wins make their attacking threat difficult to overlook. With both sides carrying positive form and their first-half records pointing in the same direction, an early breakthrough is the clearest statistical theme surrounding this Eerste Divisie preview.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs RKC Waalwijk prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 79% probability.