The new year in the Eerste Divisie begins with a fierce Limburg derby as Roda JC Kerkrade host VVV-Venlo on Sunday, January 11. Both sides are eager to start 2026 on a positive note, and with only four points separating them in the standings, this clash promises intensity and local pride. Roda JC currently sit fourth in the table, while VVV-Venlo occupy eighth place, making this encounter crucial for their promotion ambitions.

Roda JC Kerkrade’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roda JC Kerkrade have shown mixed form in recent weeks. Before the winter break, they managed two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their most recent victory came against Jong FC Utrecht with a convincing 1-3 away result on December 22, 2025. However, inconsistency has been an issue, as they also dropped points against MVV Maastricht (0-0) and suffered a narrow loss to Jong AZ (2-3).

Across the season, Roda JC’s record stands at 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their attacking play tends to improve after the break, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in 31 of their last 34 matches. However, they have also struggled to start strongly, losing at half time in 6 of their last 10 league games. These trends suggest that Roda JC often grow into matches rather than dominating from the outset.

• Ranking: 4th in Eerste Divisie


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.7 scored, 1.4 conceded


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half: 31 of last 34 matches


• Lost at half time: 6 of last 10 league games

Despite their solid position, Roda JC’s home form has not been particularly dominant, leaving room for improvement if they aim to close the gap to the top two. Their defensive structure remains a concern, especially against teams that press high and exploit transitions.

VVV-Venlo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

VVV-Venlo enter this derby with a reputation for unpredictability. They have not drawn any of their last 25 matches in all competitions, a streak that highlights their all-or-nothing approach. Their recent form includes three wins and two defeats in the last five games, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Before the break, they defeated FC Dordrecht 3-1 on December 19, 2025, showing attacking efficiency and resilience.

VVV’s season record stands at 10 wins and 11 losses, with no draws so far. This aggressive style often leads to open matches, particularly in the second half, where Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 games and in 23 of their last 24 league fixtures. Away from home, they have also been entertaining, with goals in the second half in all of their last 11 away matches. However, their defensive vulnerability remains a concern, as they concede an average of 1.4 goals per game.

• Ranking: 8th in Eerste Divisie


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 1.3 scored, 1.4 conceded


• No draws in last 25 matches


• Over 0.5 goals in second half: 23 of last 24 league games

VVV-Venlo’s attacking intent and ability to find goals late in matches make them a dangerous opponent, especially against a Roda JC side that sometimes struggles to maintain defensive focus. Their recent friendly defeat to Sparta Rotterdam (2-5) may have exposed some weaknesses, but it also provided valuable preparation ahead of this derby.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs VVV-Venlo Analysis and Prediction

The Limburg derby between Roda JC Kerkrade and VVV-Venlo is expected to be a lively contest, with both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring second halves. The last head-to-head meeting ended 3-1 in favor of Roda JC on August 24, 2025, but overall, the balance between the two sides remains tight: one win, two draws, and two defeats for Roda JC in their last five encounters.

Statistically, both teams are likely to find the net, as Both Teams To Score – Yes has occurred frequently in their recent matches. Roda JC’s home advantage could play a role, but VVV’s attacking momentum and fearless approach make them a real threat. Given their recent form and the patterns of goals in the second half, this fixture could once again deliver plenty of action after the break.

According to the latest probabilities, Roda JC have a 52% chance of winning, the draw stands at 22%, and VVV-Venlo’s victory probability is 26%. The Over 2.5 goals market is favored at 64%, while Both Teams To Score – Yes is estimated at 65%. These figures underline the expectation of an open and entertaining match.

Considering the attacking trends and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, the most likely scenario points towards a goal-filled encounter. The BetMines prediction for this match highlights Over 2.5 goals as the most probable outcome, with a 64% probability.

Roda JC Kerkrade vs VVV-Venlo prediction by BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 64% probability.