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Roda JC Kerkrade
0 - 1
FT
Willem II
Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 4:06 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 4:06 PM
The upcoming clash between Roda JC Kerkrade and Willem II promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Easter Monday round in the Eerste Divisie. With all twenty teams in action, this encounter stands out as a key battle between two sides with promotion ambitions. Roda JC will enjoy home advantage, but their recent form has been inconsistent, while Willem II arrive in Kerkrade with momentum and a strong record that keeps them firmly in the top three of the standings.
Roda JC Kerkrade currently occupy seventh place in the Eerste Divisie, with a record of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats this season. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match reflects a balanced but somewhat unpredictable campaign. In their last five outings, they have managed just one victory — a convincing 0-3 away win over FC Dordrecht on April 3, 2026. The other results include draws against Helmond Sport (1-1) and SC Cambuur (1-1), as well as home defeats to Jong PSV (0-2) and Vitesse (0-1).
These results underline a worrying trend at home, where Roda JC have struggled to turn possession into points. Despite their attacking potential, they have found it difficult to break down compact defenses. However, their matches tend to be lively: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 28 of their last 30 games, and in 26 of their last 28 Eerste Divisie fixtures. This suggests that even when results have not gone their way, their games rarely lack goalmouth action.
Roda JC’s challenge will be to rediscover their home form and capitalize on scoring opportunities early in the match. A strong start could be crucial against a Willem II side that often takes control before halftime.
Willem II enter this fixture in third place, continuing to push for automatic promotion. Their season record of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats highlights their consistency, particularly in attack, where they average 1.5 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. In their last five matches, they have recorded three victories, one draw, and one defeat — a run that includes a 1-0 win over Jong PSV on April 3, 2026, and a dominant 0-5 triumph away to MVV Maastricht.
The visitors have been especially impressive on their travels. They have scored in each of their last 15 away matches in the Eerste Divisie, with Over 0.5 goals at halftime in all of their last 10 away fixtures. Moreover, Willem II have led at halftime in their last three away games, showing their ability to start strongly and manage matches efficiently once ahead.
Willem II’s attacking rhythm and defensive organization make them a formidable opponent. Their ability to control tempo and create chances from wide areas could prove decisive, especially against a Roda JC defense that has shown vulnerability in recent home games.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. While Roda JC are battling to regain consistency and secure their playoff position, Willem II are looking to consolidate their top-three status and maintain pressure on the leaders. The last head-to-head meeting ended 1-2 in favor of Willem II on October 3, 2025, and a similarly competitive encounter can be expected this time.
Statistically, both sides tend to produce open matches. The probability of Both Teams To Score stands at 59%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 61% likelihood according to the data. These figures suggest that spectators could be treated to an entertaining contest with multiple scoring opportunities. However, Willem II’s superior form and sharper attack give them a slight edge heading into this clash.
Roda JC will rely on their home crowd to inspire a turnaround, but unless they tighten up defensively and improve their finishing, they may find it difficult to contain Willem II’s offensive momentum. The visitors’ recent away performances — marked by early goals and disciplined defending — make them favorites to take all three points.
Roda JC Kerkrade vs Willem II prediction from BetMines: Away Win (2) with 41% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roda JC Kerkrade
Willem II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0