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Rodez vs Montpellier Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 2 19-10-2026

Rodez

6:45 PM

October 19, 2026

Montpellier

Stade Paul Lignon
Geoffrey Kubler
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Oct 17, 2026 7:05 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 17, 2026 7:05 PM

Rodez host Montpellier in the final fixture of Ligue 2’s ninth round on October 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time at Stade Paul Lignon. The sides arrive in contrasting form: Rodez are 17th after four consecutive defeats, while fifth-placed Montpellier have taken seven points from their last three league matches. The home side need to halt a difficult run, but the visitors have lost only once in eight league games. This Rodez vs Montpellier match preview looks at their recent results, season statistics and half-time records ahead of the meeting.

Rodez’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Rodez began the campaign with just one defeat in their first four matches, a spell that included a 5-2 win over Nantes. Their results have since turned sharply. Losses to Metz, Grenoble Foot 38, Nancy-Lorraine and Saint-Étienne have left them on a four-game losing streak. The most recent was a 2-0 defeat against Saint-Étienne on October 10. Across their last five matches, Rodez have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 2.2 per game.

Their eight-match Ligue 2 record stands at two wins, one draw and five losses. Rodez have averaged 1.8 goals scored per league game, but their average of 2.3 conceded points to the challenge they face against a side that has been harder to beat. Their recent losses have varied in character: they conceded four against both Metz and Nancy-Lorraine, yet were also beaten 1-0 by Grenoble Foot 38 and failed to score against Saint-Étienne.

Starting strongly is another concern for the hosts. Rodez have trailed at half-time in six of their last ten Ligue 2 matches. That record does not determine how this game will unfold, but it highlights the importance of the opening 45 minutes for a team trying to break its losing sequence.

Montpellier’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Montpellier have made a steadier start to the Ligue 2 season. Their record after eight matches is four wins, three draws and one defeat, leaving them fifth. Their only league loss came against Saint-Étienne, and they have collected seven points from their three most recent league fixtures. A 2-0 victory over Grenoble Foot 38 on October 9 was their latest result.

Over their last five matches, Montpellier have won three, drawn one and lost one. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in that stretch. Their full-season league figures show a more restrained scoring rate of 1.0 goal per game, alongside an average of just 0.6 goals conceded. That defensive record offers a clear contrast with Rodez’s recent rate of concessions, although the visitors’ own scoring figures suggest they cannot rely on goals arriving in large numbers.

Montpellier’s half-time results have also been consistent. They have avoided trailing at the interval in 22 of their last 24 Ligue 2 matches and in 21 of their last 23 away matches across the supplied record. Those figures will be tested by a Rodez side looking for a response at home, but they underline how rarely Montpellier have gone into the break behind.

Rodez vs Montpellier Match Analysis

The standings and recent form favor Montpellier: they sit 12 places above Rodez, have lost only once this league season and come into the fixture on a three-match run worth seven points. Rodez, by contrast, are seeking their first point in five matches. Even so, the supplied 1X2 probabilities are close, at 38% for a Rodez win, 27% for a draw and 36% for a Montpellier win. Recent results therefore provide context rather than a guarantee of the outcome.

Goals data offer a mixed picture. Rodez’s league averages of 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded per match suggest their games have had plenty of scoring, while Montpellier’s averages of 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded reflect a more controlled set of results. The last head-to-head finished 4-2 on August 1, but one meeting alone is not enough to establish a pattern for this fixture. Montpellier have also had four goalless matches among their last 18 in Ligue 2, so an early goal should not be taken for granted.

The first half presents the clearest statistical contrast. Rodez have been behind at the break in six of their last ten league games, whereas Montpellier have avoided a half-time deficit in 22 of their last 24. A half-time lead requires at least one goal before the interval, making those records relevant to the opening-period goals market. Rodez’s need to reverse their recent form and Montpellier’s consistent results set up an important test from the first whistle.

Rodez vs Montpellier prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 75% probability.

Rodez vs Montpellier - Predictions

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Rodez vs Montpellier: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Rodez

Montpellier

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

80%

8

20%

2

3.5

40%

4

60%

6

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Rodez and Montpellier in Ligue 2

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

Montpellier

8

4

3

1

8:5

15

1.88

D
L
W
D
W
17

Rodez

8

2

1

5

14:18

7

0.88

D
L
L
L
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Rodez vs Montpellier: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Rodez vs Montpellier be played?
The Ligue 2 match between Rodez and Montpellier will be played on October 19, 2026 at 18:45.
Where will Rodez vs Montpellier be played?
The match between Rodez and Montpellier will be played at Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez - France
Who will referee Rodez vs Montpellier?
The referee for the match will be Geoffrey Kubler.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Rodez vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2?
The odds are: Rodez to win 2.62, draw 3.30, Montpellier to win 2.25.
What are the betting odds for Rodez vs Montpellier for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 2?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.65 and Under 2.5 at 2.20.
Will both Rodez and Montpellier score in the Ligue 2?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for Rodez vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Rodez and Montpellier?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Rodez and Montpellier, Rodez won 2 times, Montpellier won 3, and 0 ended in a draw.

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