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Prediction published on Sep 25, 2025 9:10 AM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Sep 25, 2025 9:10 AM
The 8th round of Ligue 2 brings an exciting clash on Friday evening as Rodez AF host Pau FC at the Stade Paul-Lignon. Both teams have shown strong form in recent weeks, making this encounter a key battle in the upper half of the table. Rodez, currently sitting in 7th place, are looking to build on their recent comeback win against Bastia, while Pau, who occupy 3rd place, aim to extend their impressive run and consolidate their position on the podium.
Rodez had a difficult start to the season, failing to win any of their first three matches. However, Didier Santini’s men have since found their rhythm, winning three of their last four games. Their most recent outing was particularly impressive: away at SC Bastia, they overturned a two-goal deficit in the final 15 minutes to secure a dramatic 2-3 victory. This result lifted them to 7th in the standings and highlighted their resilience and fighting spirit.
Looking at their overall numbers, Rodez have collected 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats so far this season, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. In their last five fixtures, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. One notable trend is their consistency in producing goals: over 0.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 matches in all competitions, and in 38 of their last 39 Ligue 2 games. Despite this, Rodez have sometimes struggled at home, which could be a factor against a strong opponent like Pau.
Pau FC have been one of the standout teams in Ligue 2 so far. Nicolas Usaï’s side have lost just once in their opening seven matches, and that defeat came under unusual circumstances, playing with a double numerical disadvantage against Red Star. Since then, Pau have bounced back impressively, winning their last two games without conceding a goal: 0-3 against US Boulogne and 1-0 against Stade Lavallois. These results have propelled them into 3rd place, firmly in the promotion race.
Statistically, Pau’s season has been very solid: 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. In their last five outings, they have picked up 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring at a rate of 1.6 goals per game. Their attacking consistency is also reflected in the fact that over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 24 Ligue 2 matches. Away from home, they are particularly reliable in producing goals, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 11 away fixtures. Additionally, they tend to come alive in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 22 of their last 24 Ligue 2 matches and in 18 of their last 20 away games.
Historically, Rodez have had the upper hand in this fixture, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five head-to-head meetings. However, the most recent clash between the two sides ended in a resounding 0-5 victory for Pau in February 2025, a result that will give the visitors plenty of confidence heading into this encounter.
Both teams are in good form, and their recent performances suggest a competitive and balanced match. Rodez will rely on their fighting spirit and home advantage, while Pau will look to continue their excellent run and capitalize on their attacking efficiency. Given Rodez’s tendency to concede and Pau’s ability to score consistently, goals are expected, but the match could be decided by fine margins.
With Rodez averaging fewer goals per game and Pau showing greater attacking consistency, the visitors may have a slight edge. However, Rodez’s resilience, as shown in their comeback against Bastia, means they cannot be underestimated. This clash promises to be a tight and tactical battle between two teams aiming to stay in the top half of the table.
Rodez vs Pau prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rodez
Pau
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2