The Serie A weekend reaches its climax with the clash between Roma and AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico, a fixture valid for the 22nd round of the 2025/26 season. Scheduled for Sunday, January 25, 2026, this encounter brings together two of the league’s top contenders. Roma, currently fourth in the standings, are chasing their fourth consecutive league victory, while Milan, sitting second, continue their pursuit of the top spot just three points behind the leaders. Both sides enter this match in excellent form, promising a tactical and intense battle in the capital.

Roma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roma approach this match full of confidence after a string of strong performances both domestically and in Europe. The Giallorossi recently defeated VfB Stuttgart 2-0 in the Europa League on January 22, confirming their place among the competition’s top eight. In Serie A, they have recorded three consecutive wins, including a convincing 2-0 victory over Torino in the previous round. Their defensive solidity has been remarkable, with no goals conceded in their last three league matches.

According to the latest data, Roma have achieved 14 wins and 7 losses this season, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. They have not drawn any of their last 27 Serie A matches and remain unbeaten in their last 18 home fixtures without a single draw. The team’s ability to maintain focus and efficiency at the back has been a key factor in their resurgence. In their last five matches across all competitions, Roma have collected four wins and one defeat, averaging two goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6.

One of the standout aspects of Roma’s season has been their defensive consistency. They boast the best defensive record in Serie A with only 12 goals conceded so far. Moreover, at least one team failed to score in the first half of each of their last 21 matches, highlighting their disciplined approach early in games. Offensively, Paulo Dybala remains their main threat, having scored 13 career goals against Milan, though he has not found the net at the Olimpico in over a year. The absence of several key players such as Mario Hermoso, Artem Dovbyk, and Stephan El Shaarawy due to injuries could, however, test their depth.

AC Milan’s Recent Form and Key Stats

AC Milan arrive in Rome in exceptional form, unbeaten in their last 20 Serie A matches. The Rossoneri have built a reputation for consistency and resilience under pressure, combining defensive stability with clinical finishing. Their most recent league outing ended in a 1-0 victory over Lecce on January 18, secured by a late goal at San Siro. Over their last five matches, Milan have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

In the current Serie A campaign, Milan’s record stands at 13 wins, 7 draws, and just 1 defeat. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 0.8. The team has also been particularly strong away from home, winning four of their last five league games on the road. Historically, Milan have performed well against teams from the capital, losing only twice in their last 12 encounters, with seven wins and three draws.

Statistically, Milan have scored at least one goal in each of their last 15 Serie A matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in their last 11 league games. They have also avoided defeat at half time in 26 of their last 28 Serie A fixtures, showing their ability to manage matches effectively. In attack, Rafael Leao is expected to start, possibly supported by Christopher Nkunku, Christian Pulisic, or Niclas Fullkrug. The only confirmed absentee is Santiago Gimenez, while Strahinja Pavlovic and Alexis Saelemaekers remain doubtful.

Roma vs AC Milan Tactical Overview and Prediction

This fixture brings together two of Serie A’s most disciplined and tactically astute sides. Both Roma and AC Milan have built their success on defensive organization and efficient transitions. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams ended 1-0 in favor of Milan, and a similarly tight contest is expected this time. Roma’s recent form at home and their defensive record suggest they will aim to control possession and limit Milan’s attacking space, while the visitors will rely on their pace and creativity in the final third.

Given the statistical trends, including Roma’s low-scoring matches and Milan’s consistent but measured attacking output, this encounter could once again be defined by fine margins. The Giallorossi’s defensive strength and Milan’s unbeaten streak make a draw or a narrow win for either side plausible. However, the data points toward a cautious affair with limited scoring opportunities.

BetMines prediction for Roma vs AC Milan:
Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.