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Roma vs Atalanta Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 18-04-2026

Roma

1 - 1

FT

Atalanta

Stadio Olimpico
Matteo Marcenaro
broken clouds 18.12 °C

Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:31 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 10:31 AM

The upcoming Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta at the Stadio Olimpico promises to be a decisive encounter in the race for European qualification. The home side are currently sixth in the standings, while the visitors sit just one place behind in seventh. With only a few rounds left in the season, both teams are eager to secure valuable points that could determine their final position in the league table. The match, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, is expected to deliver intensity, tactical discipline, and plenty of attacking intent from both sides.


Roma’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Roma approach this fixture after a convincing 3-0 victory over Pisa on April 10, a result that helped restore confidence following a mixed run of results. In their last five matches, the Giallorossi have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the Serie A season, Roma have collected 18 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. These numbers underline a balanced performance, though inconsistency has occasionally hindered their progress.


At home, Roma have been particularly strong, winning 11 of their 16 league matches at the Olimpico. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 home fixtures, showing a reliable attacking output in front of their supporters. Another notable trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of Roma’s last 19 matches, including all of their last 12 home games. This pattern suggests that the team often finds rhythm and breakthrough opportunities after the interval.


Despite recent injury concerns, Roma’s squad depth has allowed them to remain competitive. The team’s attacking line, led by dynamic forwards and creative midfielders, continues to pose a threat to any defense. The home side will aim to build on their recent win and exploit Atalanta’s occasional defensive lapses to strengthen their position in the top six.


Atalanta’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Atalanta enter this match following a narrow 0-1 defeat against Juventus on April 11. That setback ended a positive run but did not significantly affect their momentum, as they remain within touching distance of the European qualification spots. In their last five outings, the Bergamo-based side have registered two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their overall Serie A record stands at 14 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game — remarkably similar to Roma’s seasonal averages.


One of Atalanta’s most distinctive traits this season has been their tactical discipline and ability to control the tempo of matches. However, they have struggled to maintain consistency away from home, winning only five of their 15 away fixtures. Historically, the team has found it challenging to secure consecutive away victories against Roma, a trend they will look to reverse in this encounter. The visitors will also have to cope without key defensive players, which could influence their stability at the back.


Interestingly, at least one team has failed to score at half time in each of Atalanta’s last 35 matches, including their last 23 in Serie A. This statistic highlights a cautious approach in the early stages of games, with most of the action typically unfolding after the break. Offensively, Atalanta have shown diversity in their scoring options, boasting 17 different goal scorers this season — a testament to their collective attacking strength.


Roma vs Atalanta Tactical Overview and Head-to-Head


When these two sides meet, the matches are often tight and tactically complex. The last head-to-head ended 1-0 in favor of Atalanta on January 3, 2026. In their last five meetings, Roma have struggled, recording no wins, one draw, and four defeats, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. This record gives the visitors a psychological edge, though Roma’s home form could help balance the scales.


Both teams tend to rely on structured build-up play and quick transitions. Roma’s attacking patterns often flourish in the second half, while Atalanta’s pressing and direct attacks can create dangerous situations. Given the offensive potential on both sides and the statistical trends, this fixture could see goals at both ends, especially as both teams are motivated to push forward rather than settle for a draw.



  • Roma ranking: 6th in Serie A

  • Atalanta ranking: 7th in Serie A

  • Roma home record: 11 wins in 16 matches

  • Atalanta away record: 5 wins in 15 matches

  • Last head-to-head: Atalanta 1-0 Roma (January 2026)

  • Over 0.5 goals in second half: 19 consecutive Roma matches

  • At least one team failed to score at half time: 35 consecutive Atalanta matches


Probable Lineups Roma vs Atalanta


ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, N'Dicka, Hermoso; Celik, Cristante, El Aynaoui, Rensch; Soulé, El Shaarawy; Malen.
ATALANTA (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolasinac; Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bernasconi; De Ketelaere, Zalewski; Krstovic.


Roma vs Atalanta Prediction


Considering the form, statistics, and head-to-head record, this match is expected to be balanced but lively. Roma’s strong home record and attacking consistency could give them a slight advantage, while Atalanta’s resilience and tactical organization make them a dangerous opponent. Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the second half, and their similar goal averages suggest a competitive encounter with chances on both sides.


Roma vs Atalanta prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.

Roma vs Atalanta - Predictions

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Roma vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Roma

Atalanta

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Roma and Atalanta in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Roma

38

23

4

11

59:31

73

1.92

W
W
W
W
W
7

Atalanta

38

15

14

9

51:36

59

1.55

L
D
W
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Who will win ?

Roma vs Atalanta: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Roma vs Atalanta be played?
The Serie A match between Roma and Atalanta will be played on April 18, 2026 at 18:45.
Where will Roma vs Atalanta be played?
The match between Roma and Atalanta will be played at Stadio Olimpico, Roma - Italy
Who will referee Roma vs Atalanta?
The referee for the match will be Matteo Marcenaro.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Roma vs Atalanta in the Serie A?
The odds are: Roma to win 2.37, draw 3.40, Atalanta to win 3.00.
What are the betting odds for Roma vs Atalanta for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Roma and Atalanta score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Roma vs Atalanta in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Roma and Atalanta?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Roma and Atalanta, Roma won 0 times, Atalanta won 4, and 1 ended in a draw.

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