The second leg of this Europa League last 16 tie between Roma and Bologna promises to be a tense and finely balanced affair. The first leg ended 1-1, leaving everything to play for in the Italian capital. Both sides have shown resilience throughout the competition, and with a place in the quarter-finals at stake, neither will want to give an inch. Roma will look to make the most of their home advantage, while Bologna arrive full of confidence after a strong run of results.

Roma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roma come into this decisive clash after a 2-1 defeat against Como on March 15, a result that extended their winless streak to four matches in all competitions. Over their last five games, the Wolves have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their Europa League campaign has been solid overall, with a record of five wins, two draws, and two defeats, and an average of 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8.

At home, Roma have been particularly strong in the Europa League, winning at half time in 12 of their last 17 home fixtures. They also tend to start cautiously, as at least one team has failed to score at half time in 30 of their last 31 matches, and in 37 of their last 40 Europa League games. However, their second halves are often more open, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 15 matches.

In terms of personnel, Roma welcome back Gianluca Mancini from suspension and Evan Ndicka from injury, both of whom missed the first leg or the recent league defeat. Malen, who has scored seven goals since joining in January, is expected to lead the attack again. The team will, however, continue to miss Paulo Dybala and Evan Ferguson due to injuries, while Zeki Celik’s fitness remains a concern after being forced off last weekend.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna travel to Rome in excellent form, having beaten Sassuolo 1-0 away on March 15. That victory extended their impressive run to just one defeat in their last eight matches, with six wins and one draw during that period. Their last five games have produced three wins, one draw, and one loss, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. In the Europa League, Bologna’s record stands at six wins, four draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Their away form has been particularly noteworthy. Bologna have won each of their last five away matches, the last three all by a 1-0 scoreline. They have also gone unbeaten in their last four Europa League away fixtures, showing a remarkable ability to manage tight games on foreign soil. Defensively, they have been consistent, with under 3.5 total goals scored in each of their last 12 matches and under 1.5 goals at half time in the last 10.

For this second leg, Bologna regain their captain Lewis Ferguson, who returns from suspension, while left-back Juan Miranda begins a ban. In goal, Federico Ravaglia is expected to continue as the starter in this competition, with first-choice keeper Lukasz Skorupski sidelined through injury. The team’s balance and discipline have been key to their success, and they will look to maintain that structure in Rome.

Roma vs Bologna Tactical Overview

This tie is finely poised after the 1-1 draw in the first leg. Roma’s greater European experience could be an advantage, but their current form raises questions about their ability to capitalize on home advantage. Bologna, on the other hand, have been one of the most consistent sides in the competition, combining defensive solidity with clinical finishing on the counterattack.

Historically, the meetings between these two clubs have been tight, with Roma winning once, drawing twice, and losing twice in their last five encounters. The average goals across those matches stand at 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded by Roma, suggesting that Bologna have often found ways to trouble them. Given Bologna’s recent away record and Roma’s struggles in front of goal, another close contest with few goals seems likely.

Both teams tend to grow into matches, as shown by their frequent second-half goals. Roma’s home strength and Bologna’s away resilience could cancel each other out for long stretches, making small details—such as set pieces or defensive lapses—decisive in determining who advances to the quarter-finals.

Prediction and Betting Insight

Based on the available data, this match looks evenly balanced. Roma’s home advantage and European pedigree are offset by Bologna’s superior form and defensive consistency. The statistical indicators point toward a cautious first half followed by a more open second period, with both teams capable of finding the net.

Roma vs Bologna prediction by BetMines:
Bologna wins or draws — reflecting their strong away form and Roma’s recent struggles to convert dominance into victories.