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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 9:32 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 9:32 PM
Roma host Cagliari at the Stadio Olimpico on October 27 in the ninth round of Serie A. Roma are third after eight league matches without defeat, while ninth-placed Cagliari arrive on the back of two consecutive losses. The hosts drew 3-3 with Napoli on October 24, a result that extended their unbeaten league run to 15 games. Cagliari lost 2-0 to Bologna on the same day and have now gone two matches without scoring. Roma’s home form and Cagliari’s difficult recent visits to the Olimpico give this fixture a clear point of interest, although the hosts’ draw with Napoli showed that they are not beyond being tested.
Roma have five wins and three draws from their opening eight Serie A fixtures. They average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per league match, combining a strong attacking return with an unbeaten record. Their latest outing was considerably more open: the 3-3 draw away to Napoli featured two goals from Balerdi, who answered a double from McTominay. It was a valuable point for Roma, but also a reminder that their defence can be stretched.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Roma have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 1.4. In Serie A, however, they have avoided defeat in 15 consecutive matches. The Olimpico has been particularly reliable for the hosts: Roma are unbeaten in their last 16 home league games and have scored in every one of those fixtures. Their scoring run extends to 21 consecutive home matches across all competitions.
Donyell Malen is Roma’s leading league scorer with six goals and has nine in all competitions. The article also credits Balerdi, Castro and Soulé with making important contributions. Dybala could return after injury, while Cristante was back in the side against Napoli following more than a month out. Roma still have to manage the absences of Svilar, Koné and Pellegrini, with the short turnaround from the Napoli match adding another consideration.
Cagliari have taken four wins, one draw and three defeats from their first eight Serie A matches. Their season averages stand at 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. After a spell that included three successive victories and a draw with Juventus, their momentum has stalled. A 4-0 defeat to Monza was followed by a 2-0 loss to Bologna, leaving Cagliari without a goal in either of their last two league outings.
Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Rediscovering a scoring touch is therefore an immediate priority. The article highlights Maldini as an important attacking figure and identifies Mendy as another player whose goals Cagliari will want to see again. Those hopes must be weighed against Roma’s long run of scoring at home and Cagliari’s recent difficulty finding the net.
Cagliari are without Riyad Idrissi, Mattia Felici and Yael Trepy. Harry Winks left the Bologna match early with a back problem, and his availability remains uncertain. Recent trips to the Olimpico offer little encouragement for the visitors: according to the supplied match account, Cagliari have neither scored nor taken a point on their last four visits to Roma.
The contrast in current league form shapes this Roma vs Cagliari preview. Roma remain unbeaten in Serie A and have sustained a 16-match unbeaten home league run. Cagliari, despite winning four of their first eight league games, must respond to two defeats in which they conceded six goals without scoring. Roma’s 3-3 draw with Napoli suggests that Cagliari may get opportunities, but turning those opportunities into goals is the challenge their recent results underline.
The head-to-head figures also lean towards the hosts. Roma have three wins, one draw and one defeat in the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. The latest listed meeting ended 2-0 to Roma on February 9, 2026. Cagliari’s four goalless, pointless visits to the Olimpico add a more specific home-ground pattern, though past results alone cannot decide this match.
Roma’s ability to score consistently at home is likely to be central to the contest, especially against visitors who have failed to find the net in consecutive games. At the other end, the six goals in Roma’s draw with Napoli leave room for Cagliari to take encouragement. Even so, the combined picture of league form, home results and recent meetings points more strongly towards the hosts than the visitors.
Roma vs Cagliari prediction from BetMines: Roma win (1) with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Cagliari
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
5
5
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0