Tools
Prediction published on Nov 25, 2025 7:10 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 25, 2025 7:10 PM
Matchday 5 of the Europa League brings us to the iconic Stadio Olimpico, where Roma will host FC Midtjylland in a crucial clash that could shape the group standings. The Italian side currently sit 18th in the League Phase table, while the Danish champions lead the group after a perfect start. With both teams chasing different objectives — Roma looking to climb back into contention and Midtjylland aiming to secure qualification early — this encounter promises intensity and attacking football.
Roma have experienced a mixed Europa League campaign so far, winning two and losing two of their four matches. Their most recent European outing ended positively, with a 2-0 win over Rangers on Matchday 4. However, both of their defeats in the competition came at home, against Plzen and Lille, raising questions about their consistency at the Olimpico.
Domestically, the story is far brighter. The Giallorossi top the Serie A standings after a convincing 3-1 victory over Cremonese on November 23, marking their third consecutive league win. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Roma have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. They have not drawn any of their last 22 fixtures, a sign of their all-or-nothing approach under their current form.
At home in the Europa League, Roma have shown strength early in matches, leading at half time in 10 of their last 15 home games in the competition. However, they have also struggled to maintain clean sheets, with at least one team failing to score before the break in 37 of their last 40 Europa League fixtures. The potential return of Paulo Dybala and Leon Bailey could provide a timely boost to their attacking options, adding creativity and pace to their forward line.
FC Midtjylland have been one of the standout teams in this season’s Europa League. The Danish side enter Matchday 5 as the only club with a 100% record after four games, combining efficiency with attacking flair. They are also the top scorers in the competition, having netted 11 goals so far. Their attacking leader, Franculino, has been in sensational form, scoring 14 goals in 15 league matches and adding three goals in three Europa League starts.
Despite a 2-1 domestic defeat to Sønderjyske on November 23, Midtjylland’s overall form remains impressive. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The Wolves have scored in each of their last 14 matches, and every one of their Europa League fixtures this season has featured Over 1.5 goals.
Midtjylland’s away performances have been particularly strong. They have scored at least three goals in each of their away Europa League games this season and have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 20 away matches. Their consistency is further underlined by the fact that they have avoided defeat in 31 of their last 33 matches in all competitions. With such momentum, the Danish champions will arrive in Rome full of confidence and belief that they can extend their perfect European run.
This clash brings together two sides with contrasting European trajectories. Roma have struggled for rhythm in the Europa League but remain a formidable force at home, especially when backed by the passionate Olimpico crowd. Their recent domestic form suggests a team rediscovering its attacking identity, with multiple players contributing to their goal tally. The possible return of Dybala could be decisive in unlocking Midtjylland’s defense.
Midtjylland, on the other hand, have been relentless in Europe. Their high pressing, quick transitions, and clinical finishing have made them one of the most entertaining teams in the competition. The Danish side’s ability to score in virtually every match makes them a constant threat, even against stronger opponents. However, their defensive line has shown occasional vulnerability, particularly when facing technically gifted teams capable of maintaining possession and creating overloads in the final third.
Given Roma’s attacking resurgence and Midtjylland’s prolific scoring record, this match has all the ingredients for an open and entertaining contest. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, suggesting that the outcome could hinge on small defensive details or individual brilliance in the final third.
Probable Lineups Roma vs FC Midtjylland
ROMA (4-2-3-1): Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Spinazzola; Cristante, Paredes; Bailey, Dybala, El Shaarawy; Lukaku. Coach: D. De Rossi
FC MIDTJYLLAND (4-3-3): Lössl; Andersson, Dalsgaard, Juninho, Paulinho; Olsson, Martinez, Charles; Franculino, Cho, Sørensen. Coach: T. Thomasberg
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 62% probability. Roma’s attacking momentum and Midtjylland’s remarkable scoring consistency suggest that both sides will find the net in what promises to be a thrilling Europa League encounter at the Stadio Olimpico.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
FC Midtjylland
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1