Stadio Olimpico, Sunday, May 4th, hosts one of the most anticipated fixtures of Serie A Matchday 35: Roma vs Fiorentina. The two sides, currently sixth and eighth in the standings and separated by just two points, are both fighting for European qualification. The Giallorossi, playing at home against La Viola, are looking to extend their unbeaten run in the league, which dates back to December. Under Claudio Ranieri’s guidance, Roma have turned a corner—finding a defensive solidity they had lacked and reviving players like Soulé and Shomurodov who had previously been sidelined. Their latest victory came at the San Siro against Inter Milan, a 1-0 win that pushed them up to sixth place, just two points behind fourth-placed Juventus. Fiorentina, also with European ambitions, arrive in Rome after two consecutive league wins and in the middle of their UEFA Europa Conference League semi-final tie with Real Betis. They lost the first leg 2-1 in Seville, and with the return match at the Artemio Franchi just days away, coach Raffaele Palladino might consider rotating his squad—though, given the stakes at the Olimpico, the starting lineup shouldn’t see major changes. A win in Rome would allow the Tuscan side to leapfrog Roma and close the gap on the top four.

Roma recent form and key stats

Roma’s impressive run under Claudio Ranieri continued with last week’s 1-0 away win over Inter. That result marked their 18th consecutive unbeaten match in Serie A. The Giallorossi haven’t lost in the league since December 15th, when they fell 2-0 to Como.

Over their last seven league games, they’ve recorded five 1-0 victories and two 1-1 draws—against Lazio and Juventus. At home, Roma have collected 35 of their 60 total points with 11 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. They average 1.94 goals scored and 0.82 goals conceded per home game.

Roma are undefeated in their last 10 home Serie A matches, a run that extends to 15 matches in all competitions with 13 wins and two draws (against Napoli and Juventus). Their last home loss was back on December 2, 2024: a 0-2 defeat to Atalanta.

Fiorentina recent form and key stats

Fiorentina, coming off a 2-1 first-leg loss to Real Betis in the Conference League semi-final, are on a six-game unbeaten streak in Serie A—four wins and two draws. Their latest league wins came against Cagliari and Empoli, both by 2-1 scorelines. In their last five matches across all competitions, La Viola have two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Away from home, Fiorentina have earned 22 points from 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses. Their recent away form has dipped: just one win in their last five Serie A away matches (2-1 at Cagliari on April 23), along with three losses and one draw.

Roma vs Fiorentina prediction and tactical overview

Roma and Fiorentina come into this Serie A Matchday 35 clash in excellent April form, and with just four matches left in the season, neither side will want to lose momentum.

Roma will be without long-term absentee Paulo Dybala, but the form of Matias Soulé (2 goals and 1 assist in his last three matches) and the consistent performances of goalkeeper Mile Svilar (14 clean sheets) give them confidence. Fiorentina, on the other hand, will be missing Dodo and Cataldi, but will welcome the return of Moise Kean to the starting lineup. Kean is second in the Serie A scoring charts with 17 goals. Given the proximity of the Betis rematch, Palladino may opt to rotate during the game rather than at kickoff.

The reverse fixture in Florence last December ended in a stunning 5-1 win for Fiorentina, with Kean (brace), Beltran, Bove, and a Hummels own goal on the scoresheet for the home side, while Kone netted Roma’s only goal. Historically at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma have dominated this fixture with four wins and one draw in their last five meetings.

Considering Roma’s current form and their strong home record, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina strongly favors the home side.

• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina predicts the sign 1 at 50%
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina predicts the sign X at 25%
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina predicts the sign 2 at 25%

Probable lineups Roma vs Fiorentina

ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka; Soulé, Kone, Cristante, Pellegrini, Angelino; Shomurodov, Dovbyk. Manager: Ranieri

FIORENTINA (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Marì, Comuzzo; Folorunsho, Mandragora, Adli, Fagioli, Gosens; Kean, Gudmundsson. Manager: Palladino