Tools
Prediction published on Oct 1, 2025 2:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 1, 2025 6:37 AM
The Stadio Olimpico will host an intriguing Europa League clash as AS Roma welcome LOSC Lille for the second round of the group stage. Both sides started their campaigns with victories, and now they meet in Rome with the aim of consolidating their positions in the standings. Roma currently sit fourth in the group, while Lille are placed sixth, but with only one round played, everything is still wide open. This encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between an Italian side known for its defensive solidity and a French team that has shown both attacking flair and inconsistency in recent weeks.
Roma enter this match in excellent form, both domestically and in Europe. They opened their Europa League campaign with a 2-1 victory over Nice, thanks to goals from Evan Ndicka and Gianluca Mancini. That win was followed by another strong performance in Serie A, where they defeated Hellas Verona 2-0 on September 28. Overall, Roma have won four of their last five matches, losing only once, and have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.4.
Their defensive record has been particularly impressive, with four clean-sheet victories in their last six outings. At home, the Giallorossi have been dominant, scoring in 27 of their last 28 matches and remaining unbeaten at half-time in their last 13 fixtures. In the Europa League, they have also been consistent scorers, finding the net in each of their last 28 games in the competition. Furthermore, Roma have won at half-time in 10 of their last 13 home matches in Europe, underlining their ability to start strongly in front of their fans.
Manager Daniele De Rossi has built a side that thrives on defensive discipline while being efficient in attack. With the Olimpico crowd behind them, Roma will be confident of extending their strong run and securing another three points in the group stage.
Lille arrive in Rome in a more uncertain state. They began their Europa League journey with a 2-1 win over SK Brann, but their domestic form has been inconsistent. Most recently, they suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Lyon on September 28, which marked their second consecutive league loss. Despite this, Lille have shown attacking potential, averaging 2.2 goals scored across their last five matches, although they have also conceded 1.4 goals per game during that period.
The French side started the season brightly, scoring 11 goals in their first three matches, but their recent dip in form raises questions about their ability to compete against a defensively solid Roma side. Historically, Lille and Roma have only met once before, in a friendly match back in 2019, which Roma won. Lille will be hoping to reverse that outcome this time, but their recent struggles in front of goal could make this a difficult task.
Coach Paulo Fonseca will be looking for his players to rediscover their early-season sharpness, particularly in attack. The key for Lille will be whether they can break down Roma’s backline, something that very few teams have managed to do this season.
This match pits Roma’s defensive strength against Lille’s attacking intent. Roma have been extremely reliable at home, rarely conceding and often taking control of matches early. Their ability to keep clean sheets, combined with their efficiency in front of goal, makes them strong favorites heading into this encounter. Lille, on the other hand, are struggling to find consistency and will need to be at their very best to challenge Roma at the Olimpico.
Given Roma’s recent record of winning to nil and Lille’s attacking struggles in their last two league matches, the balance tilts heavily in favor of the Italians. Roma’s experience in European competitions, coupled with their current form, suggests they will likely control proceedings and limit Lille’s opportunities. If Roma can maintain their defensive discipline, a narrow but decisive home win looks the most probable outcome.
Roma vs Lille prediction by BetMines:
Based on recent form and statistical probabilities, the prediction leans towards a Home Win (1) with 51% probability. The draw stands at 24%, while an away win for Lille is given 25%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
LOSC Lille
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0