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Prediction published on Feb 22, 2025 8:46 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 22, 2025 9:17 PM
Roma and Monza face each other on Monday Night in Serie A, in what can be seen as the clash between the team who has the best shape in the league and the one that has the worst form instead, at least according to the last five games. For Claudio Ranieri's Roma, in addition to the rediscovered winning streak in the league, there is also more, namely the passage to the next round in the Europa League in a difficult elimination round like the one with Porto, therefore, it is clear that the Giallorossi are truly at their best, certainly the best of the entire season. In the home game against Monza, therefore, Roma will have a golden opportunity to get closer to seventh place, considering the defeats of Milan and Bologna while Monza, on the contrary, will take to the field with safety even further away, given Parma's success. Also unfavorable to the Brianza team is the infirmary situation which, if Roma should only take away Dovbyk, Monza should take away Pessina and Sensi plus other players in doubt. In defense, Nesta's team will also miss Izzo, who is suspended, therefore, getting points away from home against this Roma and in these conditions, for Monza can be defined as a feat, which the odds, in fact, say is very unlikely.
4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 Serie A matches have established Roma as the team "of the moment" in the league. Also strong from their passage to the Round of 16 of the Europa League, Roma are therefore looking for yet another home win, which could make the current streak of 8 wins and 1 draw in the last 9 matches played at the Olimpico even more sensational.
In Serie A, Claudio Ranieri's team has also conceded only 1 goal in the last 3 matches played.
Monza's latest home draw against Lecce puts an end to the streak of 4 consecutive defeats but does not give an upgrade to Nesta's team, who will take to the field with a safety level at least 9 points away. Away from home, Monza has lost 7 of the 12 games played in the championship and, in particular, the last 5.
In general, Monza's loot in this Serie A is very meager: 2 wins, 8 draws and 15 defeats but there is an honorable and in itself positive statistic, also confirmed by the 0-0 against Lecce: that of the goals conceded. For Monza, 39 goals have been conceded in 25 games; before the start of this Serie A matchday, 5 teams had a worse statistic.
It is difficult to imagine a Roma non-victory in this match which, as written, pits two teams with opposite moments. Furthermore, Roma is playing at home where they are performing very well against a Monza that has been losing in many consecutive away matches. Enthusiasm, player values, home field advantage and technical guidance are some of the elements that push the BetMines prediction algorithm to hypothesize a victory for the home team as much more probable.
Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Nelsson, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Koné, Pellegrini, Angelino; Soulé, Dybala; Shomurodov. Coach: Ranieri.
Monza (3-5-2): Turati; Brorsson, D’Ambrosio, Carboni; Pereira, Urbanski, Bianco, Zeroli, Kriakopolous; Mota Carvalho, Ganvoula. Coach: Nesta.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Monza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1