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Prediction published on Apr 8, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 8, 2026 5:01 PM
The 32nd round of Serie A opens with an intriguing clash at the Stadio Olimpico as Roma host Pisa. It is a match that could prove decisive for both sides, with the home team chasing European qualification and the visitors fighting to avoid relegation. The gulf between the two teams is significant, with a 36-point difference in the standings, and the Giallorossi are widely expected to take all three points.
Roma enter this fixture sitting sixth in Serie A, still in contention for a Champions League spot but under pressure after a difficult run of results. The heavy 5-2 defeat against Inter on April 5th was their third loss in four league games, leaving them four points behind the top four. Despite this setback, their overall season record remains solid, with 17 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
At home, Roma have been a strong force, remaining unbeaten in Serie A since November with six victories and two draws. Their attacking output has been consistent, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 18 matches, including all 11 most recent home games. However, their defensive line has been tested lately, conceding multiple goals in recent outings.
The team’s injury list continues to grow, with several key players unavailable. Despite these absences, Roma’s record against teams in the relegation zone is perfect this season, boasting four wins in four matches. This consistency against struggling sides could prove decisive once again.
For Pisa, the situation is far more complicated. The team sits bottom of the Serie A table with just 18 points, level with Hellas Verona, and nine points adrift of safety. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 home defeat to Torino on April 5th, marking their 17th loss of the campaign. The Tuscan side have managed only two wins all season, alongside twelve draws and seventeen defeats, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Pisa’s away form has been particularly poor — they have not won in their last 18 away matches and have failed to secure victory in 15 consecutive away league fixtures. In fact, they have gone winless in 19 of their last 20 Serie A games overall. Their defense has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 matches.
Despite these numbers, Pisa have occasionally shown resilience, managing draws away to strong opponents earlier in the season. However, their lack of attacking efficiency remains a major issue, with only 0.6 goals scored per match across their last five games. The return of key players from suspension could offer a slight boost, but the challenge at the Olimpico remains daunting.
This fixture presents a clear contrast between two teams with very different ambitions. Roma are pushing to return to the Champions League, while Pisa are desperately trying to avoid relegation. The hosts’ superior quality, home advantage, and strong record against lower-ranked sides make them heavy favorites.
Historically, Roma have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning the reverse fixture 1-0 earlier in the season. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor, with only Inter recording more wins without conceding. Pisa, on the other hand, have lost 13 matches without scoring, underlining their offensive struggles.
Given these trends, a low-scoring match dominated by Roma seems likely. The Giallorossi’s ability to control possession and exploit spaces against a vulnerable defense could lead to another clean-sheet victory. Pisa’s best hope may lie in set pieces or counterattacks, but their lack of consistency in front of goal makes an upset improbable.
Based on the available data and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Serie A clash points towards a Roma win (1) with a 70% probability. The draw (X) is estimated at 20%, while an away win (2) for Pisa stands at just 11%. Considering Roma’s strong home form and Pisa’s poor away record, the most plausible outcome is a comfortable home victory, potentially accompanied by a clean sheet.
Roma vs Pisa prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 70% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Pisa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1