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Prediction published on Nov 5, 2026 8:06 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 5, 2026 8:06 PM
Roma host Sassuolo at the Stadio Olimpico on November 7 in the 11th round of Serie A. The teams arrive in contrasting league form: Roma are third and unbeaten in the competition, while 17th-placed Sassuolo have lost four consecutive matches. The home side must also respond to a 3-2 defeat at Manchester United, where they surrendered a 2-0 lead. Sassuolo's most recent outing ended in a 4-2 loss to Fiorentina, leaving them with another demanding test against a prolific opponent.
Roma have taken 24 points from their first ten Serie A matches, with seven wins and three draws. They average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league game, and their unbeaten run in the competition extends to 17 matches. Their latest league result was a 5-2 victory away to Udinese, with Bryan Cristante, Rodrigo Mora, Donyell Malen and Daniele Ghilardi among the scorers. Matías Soulé contributed two assists.
Home results offer further encouragement. Roma have not lost in their last 15 Serie A home matches and have won their three most recent games at the Olimpico, scoring an average of 3.33 goals across those victories. They have scored in each of their last 20 home matches in all competitions, while their last 11 home fixtures have all featured more than 1.5 total goals. Roma have also avoided trailing at half-time in their last 15 home league games.
The concern is their recent European finish. Against Manchester United on November 3, Roma led 2-0 before losing 3-2, a second late reversal described in the source account after a defeat to Real Madrid. Their last five matches across competitions have produced three wins, one draw and one loss, with averages of 3.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The attack continues to create plenty, but those figures show why maintaining control throughout the match matters. Rensch is unavailable against Sassuolo after suffering an adductor injury against Manchester United.
Sassuolo have won twice, drawn twice and lost six times in their opening ten Serie A fixtures. They average 1.6 goals scored per league match but concede 2.6 per game. Their last five matches have brought one draw and four defeats, with 1.4 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game on average. In their four successive losses, they have let in 16 goals.
The 4-2 defeat to Fiorentina on November 2 captured both sides of their challenge. Laurienté scored twice, but Sassuolo still finished without a point. They have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 Serie A games, and all of their last ten league matches have contained more than 1.5 total goals. The longer away record is also difficult: Sassuolo have failed to win in 92% of their last 12 away fixtures. Leysen's serious injury earlier in the season has removed a player described as important to their defensive balance.
A win over Juventus, sealed by Adžić in a 3-2 match, had appeared to offer Sassuolo a way forward, but they have not won since. Another away trip now comes against a Roma side that has been especially reliable at home, making it important for the visitors to turn any attacking opportunities into more than a brief spell of pressure.
The contrast in league records makes Roma the stronger side on the supplied evidence. They remain unbeaten in Serie A, have scored consistently at home and face opponents who have conceded in 13 straight league games. Sassuolo have found goals of their own, including two against Fiorentina, so Roma's recent defensive difficulties cannot be overlooked. Even so, the visitors' sequence of defeats and goals conceded gives them a substantial problem to solve at the Olimpico.
The most recent meeting ended 2-0 to Roma on January 10, with Manu Koné and Matías Soulé scoring. Across the five head-to-head matches covered by the supplied summary, Roma have four wins and Sassuolo one. A broader set of 24 previous meetings records 13 Roma victories, nine draws and two Sassuolo wins. Those results do not decide this fixture, but they add context to Roma's current home advantage.
The source article lists Gollini in goal for Roma, with Ghilardi, Ndicka and Hermoso in defence. Wesley, De Roon, Cristante and Molina are named in midfield, while Soulé and Mora are listed behind Malen. For Sassuolo, it names Turati in goal; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Candé and Doig in defence; Sulemana, Matić and Adžić in midfield; and Berardi, Esposito and Laurienté in attack.
Roma vs Sassuolo prediction from BetMines: Roma win (1) with 71% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
5
5
6
4