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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 6:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Roma and Sassuolo at the Stadio Olimpico promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides with contrasting momentum. The hosts are chasing a Champions League spot, while the visitors are looking to recover from a disappointing run of results. With Roma sitting fifth in the standings and Sassuolo twelfth, the gap between the two teams reflects their differing ambitions at this stage of the season.
Roma approach this fixture after a 0-2 away win against Lecce on January 6, a result that helped them maintain their position among the top five. The Giallorossi have recorded 12 wins and 7 defeats this season, with no draws so far — a remarkable streak that extends to 31 consecutive matches without sharing the points. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game highlights a solid defensive structure combined with a pragmatic attacking approach.
At home, Roma have been particularly strong, winning six of their nine matches at the Olimpico. They have not drawn in their last 15 home games, underlining their tendency to go all-in for victory. In Serie A, under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 18 of their last 20 matches, showing that their games often open up more after the break. Another interesting trend is that at least one team failed to score before half time in 37 of their last 40 matches, suggesting a cautious start to most of their encounters.
Despite their strong position, Roma’s campaign has not been without challenges. The team has faced inconsistency in attack, partly due to injuries and the absence of a prolific striker. However, the recent return of key defenders from suspension and the contribution of players like Dovbyk and Ferguson in the last match have provided renewed optimism. The home crowd will expect another assertive performance to keep their Champions League hopes alive.
Sassuolo come into this match after a heavy 0-3 defeat to Juventus, a result that extended their winless streak to five games. Their recent record — 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats — reflects a team struggling to find rhythm and consistency. Over the course of the season, they have collected 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
The Neroverdi’s attacking output has been underwhelming in recent weeks, with their forwards failing to convert chances efficiently. The absence of key players due to injuries has further complicated matters, leaving coach Grosso with limited options in the final third. Sassuolo’s away form has also been inconsistent, and facing a side as defensively disciplined as Roma will be a tough challenge. Nevertheless, they will be eager to bounce back and prove their resilience after the setback against Juventus.
Historically, Sassuolo have struggled against Roma, winning only once in their last five meetings. The most recent head-to-head ended 0-1 in October 2025, but overall, Roma have the upper hand with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last five encounters, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. For Sassuolo, rediscovering their attacking spark will be essential if they are to challenge a Roma side that rarely gives away easy chances at home.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different trajectories. Roma are determined to consolidate their top-four ambitions, while Sassuolo are desperate to halt their slide down the table. The hosts’ defensive solidity and home advantage make them clear favorites, but their lack of draws suggests that the match is unlikely to end level. Sassuolo’s recent struggles in front of goal and Roma’s disciplined backline point towards a low-scoring affair, especially in the first half.
Given the statistical trends, Roma’s matches often feature tight margins and controlled tempo early on. Sassuolo, on the other hand, have conceded multiple goals in recent outings, which could be exploited by Roma’s attacking midfielders. The Giallorossi’s ability to maintain focus and capitalize on key moments could once again prove decisive. With both teams averaging around 1.2 goals per game, the balance may tilt in favor of the home side, particularly considering their superior form and confidence at the Olimpico.
ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Ziolkowski, Hermoso; Celik, Pisilli, Koné, Wesley; Dybala, Soulé; Ferguson.
SASSUOLO (4-3-3): Muric; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig; Iannoni, Matic, Koné; Fadera, Pinamonti, Laurienté.
Roma vs Sassuolo prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1