On Sunday, November 9, at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma host Udinese in one of the most intriguing fixtures of Serie A Matchday 11. The Giallorossi are looking for a win to bounce back from last weekend’s defeat against AC Milan, partially redeemed by their Europa League victory over Rangers. The loss to the Rossoneri cost Gasperini’s side the top spot in the table, but a win over the Friulians could see Roma reclaim first place, taking advantage of Napoli’s tough trip to Bologna. Udinese, on the other hand, arrive at the Olimpico riding high after a prestigious win over Atalanta and an impressive start to the season that currently sees them sitting ninth after ten rounds. With no pressure regarding the result, Runjaic’s men can approach the game with confidence, knowing that another positive outcome could bring them closer to the European spots — an unthinkable goal at the start of the campaign. It’s an important clash for both sides: Roma want to reignite their Scudetto ambitions and stay close to the top, while Udinese dream of continuing their surprising run toward Europe.

Roma's Recent Form and Key Stats

Roma come off a solid Europa League win: 0-2 away at Rangers thanks to goals from Matias Soulé and Lorenzo Pellegrini. In their previous Serie A outing, the Giallorossi were beaten 1-0 at San Siro by AC Milan, missing a penalty ten minutes from time through Paulo Dybala and losing their place at the top of the standings.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s team have shown mixed results lately: 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The key factor so far this season has undoubtedly been their defense, which has only been breached twice in their last four matches.

After ten Serie A rounds, Roma sit fourth with 21 points, the result of 7 wins and 3 defeats, with 10 goals scored and only 5 conceded. While they boast the best defense in the league, their attack has produced fewer goals than any other top-half team. Roma haven’t been entirely convincing on the road recently, losing three of their last four away matches.

Udinese's Recent Form and Key Stats

After losing 3-1 to Juventus on October 29, Udinese bounced back last weekend with a 1-0 home win over Atalanta, thanks to Nicolò Zaniolo’s fourth goal of the season. It’s a good moment for the Friulians, who have won two of their last three games.

Over their last five matches, the Bianconeri have maintained solid form: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. They are a consistent attacking side, scoring at least once in each of their last seven fixtures, though they also tend to concede regularly.

Following their victory against Atalanta, Udinese climbed to ninth place with 15 points, coming from 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 12 goals and conceding 15 (the league’s second-worst defense). The Friulians haven’t won away from home in three games (2 losses, 1 draw), during which they’ve conceded 7 goals and scored 3.

Roma vs Udinese Prediction by BetMines

BetMines’ prediction strongly favors Roma in this Serie A Matchday 11 clash against Udinese, with the home side benefiting from both the Stadio Olimpico factor and the league’s best defense. Roma’s win probability is estimated at 60%, while a draw (22%) and an away win (18%) remain less likely.

The head-to-head record also supports Gasperini’s men: Roma have won the last five meetings, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. Last season, Roma triumphed 3-0 at the Olimpico (goals from Dovbyk, Dybala, and Baldanzi) and 2-1 in Udine, thanks to strikes from Dovbyk and Pellegrini.

Despite their defensive solidity, Roma have struggled in attack, which is why BetMines suggest the Under 2.5 goals outcome, expecting a tight, low-scoring encounter.

In terms of absences, Gasperini will be without Angelino, Ferguson, Dybala, and Bailey — all key players, particularly in attack. Udinese, on the other hand, have almost a full squad available: Runjaic can rely on Zaniolo’s excellent form, with the forward scoring 3 goals in his last 4 appearances.

Among the Giallorossi, eyes will be on Matías Soulé, who returned to scoring form in Europe against Rangers after a month-long drought and will look to carry that momentum into Serie A.

Probable Lineups Roma vs Udinese

ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso; Celik, Koné, Cristante, Wesley; Soulé, Pellegrini; Dovbyk.
Coach: Gasperini

UDINESE (3-5-2): Okoye; Bertola, Kabasele, Solet; Zanoli, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara; Buksa, Zaniolo. Coach: Runjaic