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Prediction published on Jan 20, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jan 20, 2026 9:01 PM
The UEFA Europa League League Phase continues with a crucial clash between Roma and VfB Stuttgart on Thursday. Both sides are chasing a top-eight finish that would secure direct qualification to the round of 16. With Roma sitting tenth and Stuttgart ninth, separated by just one point, this encounter at the Stadio Olimpico promises to be decisive. The Italian side will rely on their strong home form, while the German visitors arrive in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last six matches. With both teams showing attacking intent, fans can expect a lively and open contest in Rome.
Roma approach this fixture after a 2-0 away victory over Torino, continuing a solid run of results that includes three wins from their last five matches in all competitions. During this period, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their consistency at home has been remarkable, with six wins in their last eight matches at the Stadio Olimpico. The Giallorossi have also shown a clear trend of decisive outcomes, as they haven’t drawn any of their last 34 competitive games, including 17 straight home fixtures without a draw.
In the Europa League, Roma have been particularly strong in the first half, winning at half time in their last three matches of the competition. They have also dominated early phases at home, leading at the break in 11 of their last 16 Europa League home games. However, their matches often start cautiously, with at least one team failing to score before half time in 37 of their last 40 Europa League fixtures. This pattern suggests a disciplined defensive approach early on, followed by more open play after the interval.
In terms of personnel, Roma could be missing several key players due to injuries, which might affect their attacking options. Nevertheless, their depth and tactical flexibility have allowed them to adapt effectively. The team’s recent European form — three consecutive wins in the group phase — underlines their ability to perform under pressure, especially in front of their home supporters.
VfB Stuttgart travel to Italy in excellent form, having drawn 1-1 with Union Berlin in the Bundesliga last weekend to extend their unbeaten streak to six matches. Their recent record reads three wins and two draws in the last five outings, with an impressive average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The German side’s attacking rhythm has been consistent, and they have shown a strong ability to find the net in both halves of matches.
Stuttgart’s away performances have been particularly encouraging. They have won at half time in their last three away matches and have seen over 0.5 goals scored in the first half of each of their last 17 away games. The second half tends to be even more productive, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 30 of their last 32 matches, including 20 of their last 22 away fixtures. This pattern highlights their attacking persistence and ability to maintain pressure throughout the game.
In the Europa League, Stuttgart have been equally impressive, winning their last three matches in the competition, including a 4-1 triumph over Maccabi Tel Aviv. Their offensive play has been led by Deniz Undav, who has contributed one goal and three assists in four appearances. Despite some injury concerns, the visitors have shown tactical adaptability and resilience, making them a dangerous opponent even away from home.
This encounter brings together two teams in excellent form, both eager to secure a top-eight finish in the Europa League League Phase. Roma’s home advantage and strong record at the Stadio Olimpico make them slight favourites, but Stuttgart’s attacking momentum and unbeaten streak suggest they will not be easy to contain. The statistical trends point toward a match with goals, as both sides have been prolific in recent weeks and tend to produce open, entertaining football.
Roma’s tendency to win at half time and Stuttgart’s consistent scoring in both halves could combine to create a dynamic contest. The Italians will look to impose their rhythm early, while the Germans are likely to respond with quick transitions and sustained pressure. Given the offensive quality on display and the stakes involved, this fixture has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair.
Historically, Roma have enjoyed success against German opposition at home, while Stuttgart have struggled against Serie A sides. However, current form suggests a more balanced contest this time. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited, making the prospect of multiple goals highly probable.
Roma vs VfB Stuttgart prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
VfB Stuttgart
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
7
3
7
3