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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 7:11 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 7:16 AM
AS Roma will be looking to bounce back when they host Viktoria Plzeň in this Europa League Matchday 3 encounter. After a difficult run of results, the Italian side will aim to rediscover their rhythm at the Stadio Olimpico, while the Czech visitors arrive in good form and eager to extend their unbeaten streak in Europe. This fixture promises to be a tactical battle between two teams with contrasting recent fortunes but similar ambitions of progressing from the group stage.
Roma come into this clash after a narrow 0-1 defeat to Inter Milan on October 18, marking their second consecutive loss in all competitions. Before that, they suffered a home defeat to Lille in the Europa League, a result that exposed their current attacking struggles. Despite these setbacks, the Giallorossi remain a side with strong defensive organization, having conceded an average of just 0.8 goals per match across their last five fixtures (3 wins, 2 losses).
Scoring, however, has been a major concern. Roma have failed to find the net in two of their last three games, both ending in defeat. Their home form has also dipped, with three goalless outings in their last four matches at the Olimpico. Still, history offers some encouragement: in four previous meetings with Viktoria Plzeň, Roma have recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their last home victory over the Czech side came in 2018, when they also kept a clean sheet.
Statistically, Roma’s matches tend to produce goals, with Over 0.5 goals recorded in each of their last 40 fixtures and in all of their last 20 home games. However, most of these encounters have been low-scoring overall, as Under 3.5 goals has occurred in their last 10 matches. Moreover, at least one team failed to score in 37 of Roma’s last 40 Europa League games, underlining their tendency toward tight, cautious contests. Another notable trend is that Roma have not drawn any of their last 15 matches, suggesting a decisive outcome is likely once again.
Viktoria Plzeň travel to Rome in confident mood after a 1-0 away win against Bohemians 1905 on October 18. That result extended their solid run of form, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In Europe, they remain unbeaten in their last three outings, having drawn 1-1 with Ferencváros before a convincing 3-0 victory over Malmö.
Plzeň’s attacking play has been particularly effective early in games. They have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 11 matches and have led at halftime in 7 of their last 10 away fixtures. Their consistency in front of goal is also reflected by the fact that Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 32 matches, while Over 0.5 goals at halftime has occurred in 20 of their last 21 games. This suggests that the Czech champions are capable of creating early pressure even when playing away from home.
Despite their attacking momentum, Plzeň’s defense can be vulnerable against technically superior sides. They have conceded in four of their last six matches and will need to remain compact to avoid giving Roma’s forwards the space they need to regain confidence. Nevertheless, their recent European form and ability to perform away from home make them a dangerous opponent for a Roma side still searching for rhythm.
This encounter is expected to be a tight and tactical affair. Roma’s recent struggles in front of goal contrast with their defensive stability, while Viktoria Plzeň’s attacking confidence could test the Italian backline. Historically, matches between these two sides have produced goals, but current form points toward a more cautious contest.
Roma’s home advantage and superior squad depth make them slight favorites, yet their lack of cutting edge in attack remains a concern. On the other hand, Plzeň’s recent unbeaten run in Europe and their ability to score early could make this a balanced matchup. Given both teams’ recent patterns—Roma’s low-scoring games and Plzeň’s disciplined approach—this fixture could once again be decided by fine margins.
Expect Roma to control possession and rely on their defensive organization, while Plzeň will look to exploit transitions and set pieces. The outcome may hinge on whether Roma can rediscover their scoring touch or if Plzeň can maintain their compact structure and capitalize on counterattacks.
Roma vs Viktoria Plzeň prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Roma win (1) with a 55% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Viktoria Plzeň win (2) stands at 22%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Viktoria Plzeň
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1