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Rosario Central
12:30 AM
August 14, 2026
Corinthians
Prediction published on Aug 12, 2026 1:07 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Aug 12, 2026 1:07 AM
Rosario Central welcome Corinthians on August 14, 2026, for the first leg of their Copa Libertadores round-of-16 tie. The hosts enter the contest with growing confidence after recording two consecutive victories, while their extended unbeaten home sequence provides another source of encouragement. Corinthians also arrive following a win, but their recent away record has been less convincing than their overall Copa Libertadores campaign. With the return match still to come, this opening encounter presents Rosario Central with an opportunity to make their home advantage count, while the visitors will seek a result that keeps the tie under control.
Rosario Central defeated Aldosivi 2-1 on August 7, extending their current winning run to two matches. Across their last five fixtures, they have registered two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Those figures suggest that their recent progress has been based on competitive performances rather than a consistently high-scoring attack.
Their Copa Libertadores record is particularly impressive. Rosario Central have collected four wins, one draw and one loss in six matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded. They won four of their six group-stage fixtures and finished level on points with Independiente del Valle, although the ranking placed them second after the relevant tiebreak process. The supplied Copa Libertadores ranking lists Rosario Central as number one and Corinthians as number two.
Home form is one of the strongest arguments in Rosario Central’s favour. They have not lost at their own ground since February 20, putting together an 11-match unbeaten home run made up of seven victories and four draws. They also collected seven of the nine available home points during the Copa Libertadores group stage and did not concede a goal in those matches. That defensive record could prove especially important in the first leg of a knockout tie.
Ángel Di María is a major attacking reference for the hosts and has scored twice in this Copa Libertadores campaign. The source also highlights Cantizano, Campaz and Enzo Copetti among Rosario Central’s forward options. In midfield, Pizarro and Ibarra have formed an important base for the team, while Ledesma has been used in goal. The presence of several established options gives Rosario Central different ways to support an attack that has produced nine goals across six tournament matches.
Corinthians come into the first leg after beating Bragantino 2-0 on August 9. Their last-five record is identical to that of Rosario Central: two victories, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their latest result therefore offers a timely boost before a demanding Copa Libertadores trip.
The visitors finished first in their group with 11 points after three wins, two draws and one defeat. Their complete tournament figures stand at three wins, two draws and one loss, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Corinthians scored eight times and allowed four goals during that phase, demonstrating that they did not require a large attacking total to secure first place.
Away performances, however, create a more complicated picture. Corinthians have won only two of their last nine matches on the road, while their previous two Copa Libertadores visits to another country ended in draws against Independiente Santa Fe and Peñarol. The article also notes that they have recorded only one victory across their last four away assignments. Those results indicate that maintaining their overall tournament level away from home has not always been straightforward.
The available goal trends point towards controlled Copa Libertadores matches. Each of Corinthians’ last 14 away games in the competition finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, as did 27 of their last 28 tournament fixtures overall. At the same time, their last 12 Copa Libertadores matches all produced more than 1.5 goals, placing many of those contests within a relatively narrow scoring range.
Yuri Alberto and Depay have not played for three and seven matches respectively. Their recent absences led Fernando Diniz to use Kaio César, Dieguinho and André Carillo more frequently in attacking areas. Rodrigo Garro and Jesse Lingard provide further options in midfield, while Hugo Souza has been the goalkeeper in all six of Corinthians’ Copa Libertadores appearances.
This first leg brings together two sides with similarly balanced short-term records but different home-and-away patterns. Both teams have won twice, drawn twice and lost once in their last five matches, and both have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded during that sequence. The clearest separation comes from Rosario Central’s sustained strength at home and Corinthians’ limited number of recent away victories.
Rosario Central have combined results with defensive security at the Gigante de Arroyito. Seven wins in an 11-match unbeaten home sequence represent a strong return, while three Copa Libertadores home games without conceding underline their ability to protect their goal in this competition. Their season average of only 0.2 goals conceded per tournament match further strengthens the case for another disciplined display.
Corinthians should not be underestimated after winning their group and conceding only four times in six matches. Their 2-0 victory over Bragantino also shows that they travel to this fixture on the back of a positive performance. Nevertheless, two wins from nine recent away games leave the visitors facing a significant test against opponents who have repeatedly made home advantage count.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rosario Central
Corinthians
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0