Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys meet in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 6, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:45 local time at Estadio 15 de Abril in Ciudad de Santa Fe. This city rivalry arrives with the hosts holding a clear historical advantage in recent meetings, although the two teams enter the fixture after contrasting results. Rosario Central lost their latest match, while Newell's Old Boys collected a goalless draw. The league numbers also separate the sides: Rosario Central are ranked sixth and Newell's Old Boys are 20th. Despite that gap, the visitors have produced the stronger record across their last five fixtures, adding another layer of intrigue to a derby that has recently belonged to Rosario Central.

Rosario Central Recent Form and Key Statistics

Rosario Central come into the derby following a 2-1 defeat against Gimnasia La Plata on August 29. Their last five matches have brought two victories, one draw and two defeats, showing a balanced but inconsistent sequence. During that period, they averaged exactly 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

Their broader Liga Profesional de Fútbol campaign presents a more favorable picture. Rosario Central have recorded 12 wins, seven draws and seven losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those figures help explain why they enter this fixture in sixth place and with a notable advantage over their opponents in the ranking.

There have nevertheless been some extremely tight home games. Three of Rosario Central's last 11 home fixtures finished without a goal, while three of their last 15 home matches in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol also produced under 0.5 total goals. Across all venues, two of their previous 10 matches ended with no goals scored by either side. These numbers underline that Rosario Central's games can become closed contests in which the opening goal carries significant importance.

The strongest argument in favor of the hosts is their recent record in this rivalry. The supplied head-to-head summary gives Rosario Central five wins from five meetings, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 to Rosario Central on March 1, 2026. Across those five matches, the defensive average amounts to only one goal conceded in total, reinforcing their control of the recent series.

Newell's Old Boys Recent Form and Key Statistics

Newell's Old Boys arrive after drawing 0-0 with Estudiantes on August 31. That result extended a productive recent spell in which they have secured three wins, one draw and suffered only one defeat across five matches. Their averages in that sequence are also encouraging: 1.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game.

The season record is less convincing than that recent run. Newell's Old Boys have six victories, eight draws and nine defeats in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. They average 1.0 goal per match while conceding 1.4, and they currently occupy 20th place. The difference between their season statistics and their last-five-match figures suggests that their recent results have been stronger than their overall campaign.

Away from home, the information available points to mixed returns. Newell's Old Boys failed to score in their latest trip, the 0-0 draw against Estudiantes. They have also lost two of their three away fixtures in the Clausura referenced in the match information. That record becomes particularly relevant against an opponent that has repeatedly prevented them from scoring in recent head-to-head encounters.

The challenge for Newell's Old Boys is therefore to translate their improved recent form into a rivalry that has consistently gone against them. Their defensive average over the previous five games offers some encouragement, but Rosario Central's five consecutive head-to-head victories represent a demanding trend to overturn. Avoiding an early setback could be especially important if the game follows the low-scoring pattern indicated by several of the available statistics.

Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys Match Analysis

The statistical outlook favors Rosario Central. Their estimated win probability is 60%, compared with 24% for the draw and 16% for a Newell's Old Boys victory. The hosts also have the better league position, the stronger season win total and complete control of the supplied five-match head-to-head record.

However, recent form prevents this from being a straightforward comparison. Newell's Old Boys have won three of their last five games and conceded an average of only 0.6 goals during that run. Rosario Central, by contrast, have split their previous five fixtures between two wins, one draw and two losses, and their most recent outing ended in defeat. The visitors therefore approach the derby with better short-term results, even though the wider season data favors the home side.

Goals may be limited. Both Teams To Score is assessed at 43% for Yes and 57% for No, while under 2.5 goals also carries a 57% probability. Rosario Central average only 1.0 goal scored over their last five matches, and Newell's Old Boys have just recorded a 0-0 draw away from home. The head-to-head averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded by Rosario Central further support the possibility of another controlled contest.

The central question is whether Newell's Old Boys can disrupt a rivalry trend that has produced five successive Rosario Central victories. Their recent defensive improvement gives them a platform, but their overall average of 1.4 goals conceded this season remains a concern. Rosario Central do not enter at peak consistency, yet their sixth-place ranking, 12 league wins and dominant head-to-head numbers provide the clearest factual case. A narrow match would not be surprising, but the balance of the supplied evidence places the hosts in the stronger position to claim the result.

Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys prediction from BetMines: Rosario Central win (1) with 60% probability.