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Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 4:02 PM
Sabadell host Almería in La Liga 2 on August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 local time at the Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta. The home side enter the fixture unbeaten after two league games, although both ended goalless. Almería have collected one victory and one defeat, opening with a convincing 3-0 success against Eldense before losing 1-0 to Tenerife. Those results create an intriguing contrast between Sabadell’s defensive stability and an Almería team that has already demonstrated its attacking potential but must respond to a disappointing away performance.
Sabadell are 16th in La Liga 2 after beginning the campaign with two consecutive draws. Their latest match, played on August 23, finished 0-0 against Castellón. The season figures are particularly clear: no wins, two draws and no defeats, with averages of 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per league game.
The lack of goals has defined Sabadell’s opening weeks. Their two La Liga 2 fixtures have both produced under 0.5 total goals, meaning neither they nor their opponents have found the net. The article’s account of their previous performance also notes that Sabadell failed to record a shot on target. That limited attacking output is a concern ahead of a meeting with visitors who scored three times in their first league appearance.
At the other end, however, Sabadell have shown the organisation and physical commitment required to frustrate opponents. In their previous game, they used a five-player defensive line supported closely by two midfielders. That compact approach has helped them preserve an unbeaten record and two clean sheets. It also fits a broader statistical trend: at least one team has failed to score in the first half in 30 of Sabadell’s last 32 matches.
Their longer recent sequence is also positive in terms of results. Across the last five matches, Sabadell have registered one win and four draws without suffering a defeat. They averaged 1.0 goal scored and only 0.4 conceded during that run. While their present league attack has yet to make an impact, their defensive numbers suggest that Almería may need patience to create clear opportunities.
Almería occupy 10th place and have three points from their opening two La Liga 2 matches. Their campaign began with a 3-0 victory over Eldense, with Bonini, Dzodic and Nico Melamed scoring. Leo Baptistao later missed a penalty after the result had effectively been settled. That opening display showed the visitors can punish opponents when their attacking play functions effectively.
The second match delivered a very different outcome. Almería lost 1-0 away to Tenerife on August 23 and were unable to reproduce the intensity or productivity of their opening victory. Xavier García Pimienta acknowledged that his team did not sustain its intensity throughout the contest in the same way as Tenerife. This trip therefore offers an immediate opportunity to improve upon that away display.
Almería’s league record stands at one win and one defeat, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Over their last five matches in all supplied form data, they have won three and lost two, scoring an average of 1.8 goals while conceding 0.4. Those figures combine credible attacking production with a generally solid defensive return, although their most recent match ended without an Almería goal.
Nico Melamed is an important attacking figure based on the opening home game, when the midfielder contributed a goal and an assist. Almería also added Pulido, Miguel de la Fuente and Alex Sola for the 2026/27 season. The visitors are expected to possess enough individual quality to test Sabadell’s compact defensive structure, but they must turn that quality into sustained pressure rather than rely on isolated moments.
The available evidence points toward a closely contested game in which space and clear chances could be limited. Sabadell have not conceded in either league fixture, but they have also failed to score. Almería began with three goals against Eldense before being shut out by Tenerife, so their challenge is to rediscover their opening-round efficiency against a home side set up to protect its defensive areas.
The win probabilities underline how narrow the matchup appears: Sabadell are assigned a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Almería 37%. Almería therefore hold only a slight numerical advantage rather than entering as overwhelming favourites. The decimal match odds follow a similar pattern, with an away win at 2.50, a home victory at 2.87 and the draw at 3.20.
Goal-related data provides the strongest theme. Under 2.5 goals carries a 54% probability, while Both Teams To Score (No) is also assessed at 54%. Sabadell’s two goalless league results, their absence of shots on target in the previous match and Almería’s 1-0 defeat at Tenerife all support the prospect of another restrained contest. The supplied odds price under 2.5 goals at 1.66, compared with 2.15 for over 2.5.
The latest head-to-head meeting ended 2-2 on January 24, 2021, while the supplied overall head-to-head summary is balanced at two wins each and one draw. Sabadell averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across that summary, but the current-season evidence is markedly more defensive. If the hosts maintain their compact organisation, Almería may have to work carefully for openings. Conversely, Sabadell must offer more in attack if they are to convert another disciplined performance into their first league victory.
Sabadell vs Almería prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sabadell
Almería
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1