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Sabah
4:45 PM
October 20, 2026
Borussia Dortmund
Prediction published on Oct 19, 2026 4:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Oct 19, 2026 4:02 AM
Sabah host Borussia Dortmund at Azərsun Arena in Baku on Tuesday, October 20, with both teams seeking their second win of the Champions League league phase. Sabah, playing in the competition’s main draw for the first time, followed an opening defeat with a 2-0 victory over Slavia Prague. Dortmund’s campaign moved in the opposite direction on matchday two, when they lost 1-0 away to Bodo/Glimt. This is the clubs’ first meeting, and Sabah’s first match against German opposition. The hosts arrive with strong recent results, while Dortmund bring a record of four wins from four previous games against Azerbaijani teams—but also a four-match winless run in away Champions League fixtures.
Sabah have responded impressively since their 4-0 defeat to Manchester United on matchday one. Their 2-0 home win over Slavia Prague gave them a first Champions League main-draw victory, and they followed it by winning 0-4 away to Qabala on October 17. Across their last five matches, Sabah have recorded four wins and one draw, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded per game. They have scored at least three times in three of those five fixtures.
Their home form adds to the challenge facing Dortmund: Sabah have won their last eight home matches. They have also avoided a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 home games. Second-half goals have featured regularly in their fixtures, with at least one goal scored after the interval in 18 of their last 20 at home and 33 of their last 36 overall. Those figures refer to goals in the matches as a whole, rather than goals scored by Sabah alone.
Joy-Lance Mickels, who scored against Slavia Prague and also registered four goals in qualification, was rested for the Qabala match. Aleksey Isayev scored twice in that win, giving manager Valdas Dambrauskas a selection decision. The supplied information describes Sabah’s squad as fully fit ahead of the visit from Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund travel to Baku without a win in their last three matches. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw with FC Union Berlin on October 17, following the 1-0 Champions League defeat to Bodo/Glimt. Dortmund have failed to score in two consecutive games, although their broader five-match record stands at two wins, two draws and one defeat. Over that span, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
Away results in this competition are another concern for the visitors, who have gone four Champions League away matches without a win. Their record against Azerbaijani opponents offers a contrast: Dortmund have won all four previous meetings, scoring 12 goals and conceding one. None of those games was against Sabah, so that record provides context rather than a direct guide to this first encounter.
Nico Schlotterback is back in contention, while Emre Can, Giannis Konstantelias and Justin Lerma remain unavailable. Dortmund will also be looking for a stronger scoring contribution from Serhou Guirassy, who has not scored in his last five matches and played 30 minutes against Bodo/Glimt. Manager Noko Kovac faces a trip in which improving the visitors’ attacking output is as important as ending their away winless run.
The contrast between Sabah’s eight straight home wins and Dortmund’s four winless Champions League trips makes this a more open contest than the clubs’ respective European experience might suggest. Sabah have already shown they can win at this stage by beating Slavia Prague without conceding, while Dortmund need a response after leaving Bodo/Glimt without a goal or a point.
Recent scoring numbers give Sabah reason to be confident: their five-match average of 2.4 goals scored is twice Dortmund’s 1.2 over the same span. The visitors, however, have conceded only 0.6 goals per match across their last five, so Sabah’s recent attacking form does not guarantee a repeat against this opponent. Dortmund’s own two-game scoring drought is the clearest caution against assuming a high-scoring match.
Goals after half-time remain a notable feature of both teams’ records. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of Sabah’s last 20 home matches and in 18 of Dortmund’s last 20 away Champions League matches. With Sabah in strong home form and Dortmund trying to halt a difficult run on the road, the second half could have an important bearing on the result. The available form and scoring figures give the case for a match with multiple goals a slight edge, despite Dortmund’s recent blanks.
Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sabah
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3