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Prediction published on Mar 19, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Mar 19, 2026 8:01 PM
The final match of the 28th round in Ligue 2 brings an exciting clash between AS Saint-Étienne and FC Annecy. Scheduled for Saturday evening, this encounter at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard could play a decisive role in shaping the promotion race. The home side are currently second in the table and eager to consolidate their position to secure direct promotion to the top flight. Meanwhile, Annecy, sitting ninth, still harbor hopes of reaching the playoff zone and will look to bounce back after recent setbacks.
Saint-Étienne approach this fixture in strong form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Grenoble Foot 38 on March 14, 2026. Despite that stalemate, the team has displayed impressive consistency, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match over their last five games. Throughout the season, they have recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
At home, the Verts have been particularly reliable. They have scored at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 home matches, and in 18 of those, there has been at least one goal in the second half. Their matches tend to be tight affairs, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 11 games. This defensive solidity, combined with a steady attacking rhythm, makes them a formidable opponent at Geoffroy-Guichard.
Annecy enter this match looking to recover from a recent dip in form. They suffered a 1-2 defeat against Troyes on March 16, following a heavy 3-0 loss to Le Mans. Despite these setbacks, their overall record remains balanced, with 11 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats this season. The team averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, showing they can compete effectively when in rhythm.
One of Annecy’s most notable trends is their tendency to avoid draws — they have not drawn in 19 of their last 20 away matches. This suggests that their games often produce decisive outcomes. Additionally, they have led at halftime in 12 of their last 20 matches, indicating a proactive approach early in games. However, maintaining consistency against a top-tier opponent like Saint-Étienne will be a major challenge, especially away from home.
The previous meeting between these two sides ended in a 4-0 victory for Annecy on October 25, 2025. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with 2 wins each and 1 draw. However, Saint-Étienne’s current momentum and home advantage could tilt the balance in their favor this time. Their recent performances at Geoffroy-Guichard have been dominant, with three consecutive home wins, while Annecy’s defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed in recent weeks.
Given the statistical trends, this match could feature goals from both sides. Saint-Étienne’s attacking consistency and Annecy’s willingness to play open football suggest a lively contest. Still, the hosts’ defensive discipline and superior form make them favorites to claim all three points.
According to the available data, Saint-Étienne hold a 51% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 24% and an Annecy win at 26%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market shows a 59% probability, and the Over 2.5 goals option is estimated at 58%. These figures suggest a competitive match with a good chance of multiple goals.
Taking into account the form, home advantage, and attacking trends, the BetMines prediction for this fixture is: Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability. Fans can expect an entertaining encounter as both teams push for crucial points in their respective battles for promotion and playoff contention.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Saint-Étienne
Annecy
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2