The 21st round of Ligue 2 concludes this Saturday evening with an intriguing clash between Saint-Étienne and Boulogne. The home side are looking to bounce back after a difficult run of results that has seen them slip slightly in the standings, while the visitors continue their battle to stay clear of the relegation zone. The match promises to be intense, with both teams needing points for very different reasons.

Saint-Étienne’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Saint-Étienne enter this fixture sitting 4th in the Ligue 2 table, just outside the promotion spots. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five league matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). The most recent setback came in a narrow 1-0 loss to Reims on January 24, 2026. Despite this, the team’s overall season record remains solid: 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

At home, the Verts have been particularly reliable. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 16 home matches, and matches at the Geoffroy-Guichard often come alive after the break — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 19 home fixtures. This attacking consistency in front of their fans could prove decisive once again.

• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 21 of their last 23 matches.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 Ligue 2 games.


• Head-to-head record vs Boulogne: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat (average 0.8 goals scored, 0.5 conceded).

With promotion ambitions still alive, Saint-Étienne will be eager to return to winning ways and keep pressure on the top two. Their home form and attacking rhythm make them strong favorites heading into this encounter.

Boulogne’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Boulogne approach this match from a very different perspective. Currently 15th in the table, they are fighting to avoid being dragged into the relegation battle. The newly promoted side have collected 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats so far, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their last outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Red Star on January 24, a result that extended their unbeaten run to two games (1 win, 1 draw).

However, their away form remains a major concern. Boulogne have failed to win any of their last six away matches, and they often struggle to make an impact before halftime — they haven’t led at the break in 21 of their last 22 matches. In addition, at least one team has failed to score in the first half of each of their last 20 away fixtures, suggesting a cautious approach early in games.

• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 15 matches.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in their last 14 Ligue 2 fixtures.


• No halftime wins in 19 of their last 20 Ligue 2 games.

Despite showing some resilience recently, Boulogne’s defensive vulnerabilities and lack of away victories make this a daunting trip. They will need to be compact and efficient to take anything from a ground where few visiting teams have succeeded this season.

Saint-Étienne vs Boulogne Analysis and Prediction

This matchup brings together two sides with contrasting objectives. Saint-Étienne are pushing for promotion and will be determined to capitalize on home advantage, while Boulogne are simply looking to stay afloat in Ligue 2. The hosts’ attacking consistency, especially in the second half, contrasts sharply with the visitors’ struggles on the road.

Historically, encounters between these two teams have been tight, with low-scoring outcomes being common. However, given the current dynamics — Saint-Étienne’s strong home scoring record and Boulogne’s defensive fragility — the balance seems to tilt toward the home side. The Verts’ ability to find goals after halftime could once again be the key factor in securing all three points.

According to the latest probabilities, Saint-Étienne have a 54% chance of winning, the draw stands at 24%, and Boulogne’s chances are estimated at 22%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 55%, while the Over 2.5 goals market is rated at 54%.

Saint-Étienne vs Boulogne prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 54% probability.