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Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 9:03 PM
The 26th round of Ligue 2 continues this Saturday evening with an exciting clash between AS Saint-Étienne and Red Star. The match promises to be a key moment in the promotion race, as both sides have shown strong ambitions this season. Saint-Étienne, rejuvenated under new management, are chasing the top spot, while Red Star are fighting to stay in the playoff zone. The atmosphere at Geoffroy-Guichard should be electric as two of the league’s most competitive teams face off.
Saint-Étienne have been one of the most consistent sides in Ligue 2 this season. Currently sitting 2nd in the standings, they have collected 14 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their recent form is particularly impressive, with 4 wins in their last 5 games and a convincing 0-3 victory against Pau on February 28, 2026. The team’s attacking efficiency has improved significantly, scoring at least twice in each of their last three league matches.
At home, the Verts have been dominant, often starting matches strongly — they have led at half time in their last three Ligue 2 fixtures. Matches at Geoffroy-Guichard tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in both halves in 18 of their last 20 home games. This attacking rhythm, combined with a solid defense, has made them one of the toughest sides to beat in the division.
Despite some injury concerns, Saint-Étienne’s squad depth has allowed them to maintain momentum. The return of Chico Lamba to training is a boost, while Lucas Stassin and Irvin Cardona have been decisive in recent weeks. Stassin, in particular, regained confidence with a brace against Pau, and his form could be crucial in this final stretch of the season.
Red Star have been one of the pleasant surprises of the campaign. Initially expected to fight for survival, they now sit 7th in Ligue 2, with a record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match reflects a balanced side capable of competing with anyone. However, recent results have been less convincing — only one win in their last six league games — including a 0-0 draw against Le Mans on February 28.
Defensively, Red Star remain compact, especially away from home. Their last 12 away matches have all featured under 3.5 total goals, showing a tendency for tight, low-scoring encounters. In fact, under 3.5 goals has been recorded in each of their last 10 away league games. While their attack has struggled recently, the team’s organization and discipline have kept them competitive.
Goalkeeper Gaëtan Poussin has been a standout performer since joining, while Balthazar Pierret continues to impress in midfield. Up front, Kévin Cabral will be eager to add to his tally and help his side rediscover their scoring touch. Red Star’s challenge will be to find the right balance between defensive solidity and attacking ambition against one of the league’s most in-form teams.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Saint-Étienne are in full momentum, having won four of their last five matches, while Red Star are struggling to regain consistency. The home side’s attacking confidence and early dominance in matches could once again prove decisive, especially given their strong record at Geoffroy-Guichard.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is balanced, with one win each in their last two meetings. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Saint-Étienne on November 1, 2025. Given the current form and the statistical trends, another competitive but controlled match is expected, likely featuring goals from both sides but leaning towards a home success.
For bettors, this match offers several interesting angles. Saint-Étienne’s attacking form suggests potential for goals, while Red Star’s away discipline points to a balanced contest. However, the momentum and confidence of the home team make them slight favorites to claim all three points.
Saint-Étienne vs Red Star prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 46% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Saint-Étienne
Red Star
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3