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Saint-Étienne
6:00 PM
October 10, 2026
Rodez
Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 6:07 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 6:07 PM
Saint-Étienne host Rodez at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard on Saturday, October 10, in the eighth round of France’s Ligue 2. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time. The league leaders are seeking their first championship win in three matches after a fast start to the season, while 14th-placed Rodez arrive without a victory in their last four league outings. Recent results have made this an important opportunity for Saint-Étienne to regain momentum after the international break, but both teams’ scoring figures suggest there could be plenty to watch beyond the contest for points.
Saint-Étienne opened their Ligue 2 campaign with five consecutive wins, including a 3-1 victory over Montpellier HSC. That run has since been interrupted by a 2-1 defeat to USL Dunkerque and a 2-2 draw with FC Metz. Even so, their league record stands at five wins, one draw and one loss, keeping them in first place ahead of Rodez’s visit.
The home side’s season averages underline their attacking output: 2.7 goals scored per Ligue 2 match, compared with 1.1 conceded. Across their last five matches, they have three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring 2.8 goals and conceding 1.6 per game on average. A 5-1 win over Sion on October 2 offered a more emphatic recent result, although their two latest league fixtures show why they are still looking to steady their form in the competition.
Ian Cathro will be without Lassana Traoré, Mahmoud Jaber and Paul Eymard. Gautier Larsonneur has found clean sheets difficult to come by in recent weeks, with Julien Le Cardinal and Sohaib Naïr among the defensive players available to the Saint-Étienne coach. Áron Csongvai has become an important presence in midfield, while Jakob Breum, Augustine Boakye, Thierno Ballo and Irvin Cardona give Cathro options further forward. Turning those attacking resources into another league victory is the immediate priority after the setbacks against Dunkerque and Metz.
Rodez won two of their first three Ligue 2 games but have not won any of the four that followed. Their current run includes three straight defeats: 4-1 against FC Metz, 1-0 against GF38 and 4-3 against AS Nancy-Lorraine. Those results have left Didier Santini’s side in 14th place with a league record of two wins, one draw and four losses. A 2-0 victory over Inter Club d’Escaldes on October 3 gives them a more positive recent result to build on, though it does not change their winless league sequence.
The visitors have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per Ligue 2 match this season. Their last-five-match figures tell a similar story of goals at both ends: one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded. Rodez have also been behind at half-time in each of their last three away league matches, a pattern they will want to break against the division’s leaders. At the same time, three of their last ten Ligue 2 away games finished without a goal, so their travel record has not followed a single scoring pattern.
Santini remains without Hermann Tebily. There is more encouraging news concerning goalkeeper Quentin Braat, who returned to play in a friendly during the international break after several weeks out; whether he resumes his league place remains uncertain. Mathis Magnin and Raphaël Lipinski are among Rodez’s defensive options, and Jordan Mendes has made regular starts in midfield. In attack, Corentin Issanchou has scored twice in Ligue 2, while Kenny Nagera has supplied two assists.
The standings and league form favour Saint-Étienne, but their recent matches provide reason to look closely at the goal totals. Their two-game league winless spell has featured a combined seven goals, and their last-five-match averages show that they have continued to score regularly while conceding more often than their season figure suggests. Rodez’s three successive league defeats have likewise included high-scoring losses to Metz and Nancy-Lorraine. If those trends continue, the visitors may have opportunities to contribute on the scoresheet even while facing a difficult assignment.
The most recent meeting offers a clear counterpoint: Saint-Étienne and Rodez drew 0-0 on May 15, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Saint-Étienne have two wins, two draws and one loss against Rodez, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. That record gives the hosts encouragement without guaranteeing that this match will resemble either the goalless last encounter or either side’s more open recent fixtures.
For Saint-Étienne, the task is to convert their strong scoring form into a first league win since their opening five-match streak. Rodez, meanwhile, need to halt both a four-game league winless run and a sequence of poor first halves away from home. With the hosts averaging 2.7 league goals scored and the visitors conceding 2.3, the broader season numbers point toward chances for goals, even though the previous head-to-head ended without one.
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Saint-Étienne
Rodez
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
0
10
4
6
3.5
2
8
4
6
4.5
7
3
6
4