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Salernitana
1:30 PM
November 15, 2026
Catania
Prediction published on Nov 13, 2026 1:32 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Nov 13, 2026 1:32 PM
Salernitana host Catania on November 15 in a Serie C: Girone C match that brings together two sides with contrasting recent results. What might have been viewed as a direct test in the promotion race now finds Salernitana in 14th place and Catania in third. The hosts are seeking a response after five matches without a win, while the visitors arrive on the back of a victory. Their most recent meeting finished 0-0, but the current scoring trends give this fixture more than one possible direction.
Salernitana lost 1-0 to Inter U23 on November 7, extending a difficult sequence to three draws and two defeats in their last five matches. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per game across that stretch and conceded 1.4. Those figures help explain why a win would matter so much to the hosts: they need both a result and an improvement on their recent attacking output.
Across the Serie C: Girone C season, Salernitana have recorded three wins, six draws and four losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their broader scoring rate is stronger than their recent five-game return, but those results show that finding a goal has not always been enough to turn a match in their favour.
There is, however, a notable contrast between their overall recent form and their home scoring record. Salernitana have scored at least once in each of their last 12 home matches. That run gives them a clear attacking target against Catania, even if their five-match average suggests they cannot take chances for granted. A home goal would also fit a much longer pattern than the one reflected by their latest results.
Catania beat Sorrento 2-0 on November 8 and have won three of their last five matches, losing the other two. Their attacking return over that period is particularly striking: 2.4 goals scored per game, compared with 0.6 conceded. Although those five results include defeats, they present a different picture from Salernitana's winless run.
For the season, Catania have seven wins, one draw and five losses in Serie C: Girone C. They average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Those numbers, together with their third-place position, show why the visitors have a strong case for taking something from this fixture. They will nevertheless be facing a home side with a sustained scoring streak.
Catania's away matches offer another point to watch: there has been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 11 away fixtures in this competition. That statistic refers to goals in the matches overall, rather than goals scored by Catania alone. It does not determine the final score, but it does suggest that events after the interval have consistently mattered in their recent away games.
The teams' latest head-to-head result offers a reason for caution. They drew 0-0 on March 1, 2026, and Salernitana's supplied two-match head-to-head record against Catania stands at one draw and one defeat, with an average of 0.0 goals scored. Another closely contested game is possible, particularly given the hosts' recent difficulty in front of goal.
The current form figures pull the analysis in a different direction. Salernitana have scored throughout their 12-match home streak, while Catania have averaged 2.4 goals across their last five outings. The hosts have also conceded 1.4 per match during that five-game spell. Taken together, those numbers leave room for both teams to contribute, even though Catania's recent defensive average of 0.6 goals conceded and the previous 0-0 meeting argue against treating goals as certain.
The result itself remains difficult to pin down. The supplied win probabilities are 42% for Salernitana, 27% for a draw and 31% for Catania. Salernitana's home scoring sequence gives the hosts a route into the match, whereas Catania's stronger recent record and season scoring average make them a substantial threat. With those factors in tension, the question of whether each side can score is more compelling than a firm call on the winner.
Salernitana vs Catania prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Salernitana
Catania
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2