The third round of the FA Cup brings an intriguing clash between two promotion-chasing sides from League Two as Salford City host Swindon Town at Peninsula Stadium. Both teams have shown strong form in recent weeks, and with a place in the next round at stake, this encounter promises to be a thrilling contest. It will also mark the first time these two sides meet in this competition, adding an extra layer of anticipation for fans and neutrals alike.

Salford City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Salford City enter this FA Cup tie in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions. Their recent 1-2 away victory against Barrow on January 1, 2026, highlighted their resilience and attacking efficiency. Over their last five outings, the Ammies have recorded four wins and one draw, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. This consistency has kept them firmly in the promotion race in League Two.

In the FA Cup, Salford have already demonstrated their ability to handle pressure. They advanced past Lincoln on penalties in the first round before dismantling Leyton Orient 4-0 at home in the second. Their attacking play has been particularly impressive, with an average of 2.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match in this competition. The Ammies’ home form has also been solid, with only three of their last fourteen home fixtures producing under 0.5 total goals, suggesting that fans can expect another lively performance at Peninsula Stadium.

• FA Cup record: W 1 · D 1 · L 0


• Average goals scored: 2.5


• Average goals conceded: 0.5


• Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats


• Head-to-head vs Swindon Town: W 2 · D 3 · L 0

Swindon Town’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Swindon Town have also been in fine form, losing just twice in their last fourteen matches across all competitions. Their most recent outing saw them secure a comfortable 2-0 home win over Gillingham, marking back-to-back league victories. Over their last five games, the Robins have collected four wins and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per match — a testament to their defensive discipline and clinical finishing.

In the FA Cup, Swindon have mirrored Salford’s record with one win and one draw so far, maintaining an average of 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Their second-round triumph over Bolton Wanderers was particularly impressive, ending in a 4-0 victory that featured a standout hat-trick from Aaron Drinan. The Robins have also been involved in high-scoring contests, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last ten FA Cup matches, underlining their attacking intent.

• FA Cup record: W 1 · D 1 · L 0


• Average goals scored: 2.5


• Average goals conceded: 0.5


• Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat


• Over 1.5 goals in last 10 FA Cup matches

Salford City vs Swindon Town Analysis and Prediction

Both sides come into this fixture with confidence and momentum, making this one of the standout ties of the FA Cup third round. Salford City have the advantage of playing at home, where they have been difficult to beat, while Swindon Town’s recent scoring form ensures they will pose a constant threat going forward. The last meeting between these teams ended 3-2 in favor of Salford, suggesting another open and competitive match could be on the cards.

Statistically, the Ammies have been slightly more consistent defensively, while the Robins have shown greater attacking depth. With both teams averaging over two goals per game in the FA Cup this season, a high-scoring affair seems likely. The head-to-head record also favors Salford, who remain unbeaten in their last five encounters with Swindon. However, given the visitors’ recent form, this tie could be decided by fine margins or even extend into extra time.

According to the latest probabilities, the chances of a Salford City win stand at 42%, a draw at 25%, and a Swindon Town win at 34%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is rated at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 55% likelihood, reinforcing expectations of an entertaining contest.

Salford City vs Swindon Town prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 55% probability.