Tools
Salzburg
5:00 PM
August 6, 2026
Pafos FC
Prediction published on Aug 5, 2026 3:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Aug 5, 2026 3:03 AM
Salzburg begin their European campaign against Pafos FC in the third qualifying round of the Europa League, with the first leg taking place in Salzburg on August 6, 2026. The hosts enter the tie after recording consecutive victories, while Pafos arrive following a 2-0 win over Hajduk Split. Both clubs have recent league-phase experience in UEFA competitions, but their immediate records present a clear contrast: Salzburg have won three of their last five matches, whereas Pafos have managed one victory during the same period. With the return fixture still to come, this opening encounter provides each side with an opportunity to establish an early advantage.
Salzburg have started the new season positively. Their opening match produced an emphatic 7-1 victory against SV Oberwart, and they followed that result by beating Hartberg 1-0 at home on August 1, 2026. Those two wins represent an encouraging response after the team ended the previous season without a victory across its final four matches.
Across Salzburg’s last five games, the Austrian side have collected three wins and two defeats, with no draws. Their attacking average during that sequence stands at an impressive 2.8 goals per match, while they have conceded 1.2 goals per game. That scoring output underlines their capacity to create a high-goal contest, although the defensive average also suggests that they have not consistently kept opponents quiet.
The timing of the goals in their recent fixtures is another notable feature. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Salzburg’s last 10 matches. This is a total-match trend rather than a record limited to Salzburg’s own goals, but it still indicates that their games have continued to produce meaningful action after the interval. The latest 1-0 success against Hartberg also showed that Salzburg can protect a narrow lead when required.
Salzburg will be aiming to improve on their previous Europa League league-phase campaign, when they managed two victories from eight fixtures. The supplied Europa League ranking places them first, with Pafos listed second. While this European tie represents a fresh challenge, the hosts can approach it with the momentum generated by two straight wins and a strong recent scoring average.
Pafos FC enter the match after defeating Hajduk Split 2-0 on July 30, 2026. That result gives the visitors something positive to build upon as they pursue a third consecutive appearance in the main draw of a UEFA competition. Pafos featured in the Conference League two seasons ago and reached the Champions League league phase last season, where they recorded two victories in eight matches.
The broader recent form is less convincing. Pafos have registered one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five games. During that run, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their Europa League season record currently reads one win and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded.
Despite their modest individual scoring average, matches involving Pafos have repeatedly moved beyond a low total. More than 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 18 matches. The same pattern applies specifically to their away schedule, with over 1.5 total goals recorded in their previous 10 away fixtures. These figures refer to combined goals from both teams and therefore describe the overall nature of Pafos matches rather than only the visitors’ attacking production.
Their European away results remain an important concern before this first leg. Pafos have gone five consecutive road matches in European competition without a win, losing three of them. That sequence places additional importance on defensive discipline against a Salzburg side currently averaging 2.8 goals across its last five outings. Nevertheless, the 2-0 success over Hajduk Split offers Pafos a recent example of producing a winning performance in this competition.
The contrast between the teams’ recent numbers gives this Europa League qualifier a compelling shape. Salzburg bring the stronger five-match record and the higher scoring average, having found the net at a rate of 2.8 goals per game. Pafos FC, by comparison, have averaged 0.8 goals over their latest five fixtures and have lost three times during that sequence.
Salzburg’s two consecutive victories provide a stable platform for the opening leg. The 7-1 result against SV Oberwart demonstrated their attacking potential, while the 1-0 win over Hartberg showed a different route to success. Combining those results with the second-half goal trend from their last 10 matches suggests that Salzburg games can develop in several ways and may remain active deep into the contest.
Pafos must attempt to transfer the confidence from their latest 2-0 victory into a more demanding away assignment. Their record of no wins in five European trips, including three defeats, is the clearest difficulty facing the visitors. At the same time, the run of over 1.5 total goals in 18 consecutive Pafos matches—and in their last 10 away games—indicates that their fixtures have consistently produced at least two goals overall.
The available probability figures underline the competitive element of the tie: Salzburg are assigned a 51% win probability, compared with 23% for the draw and 25% for a Pafos victory. Both Teams To Score – Yes is listed at 54%, while Over 2.5 goals is also shown at 54%. These numbers provide context rather than a formal selection, with the recent evidence centring on Salzburg’s strong start, Pafos’s latest win and the visitors’ difficult European away sequence.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Salzburg
Pafos FC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
1
9
7
3
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1