Sambenedettese host Atalanta II on September 16, 2026, in the fifth round of Serie C: Girone B. The match is scheduled to begin at 16:30 local time at the Stadio Riviera delle Palme in San Benedetto del Tronto. The two teams enter this fixture with contrasting results from September 12: Sambenedettese suffered a 2-1 defeat against Pineto, while Atalanta II secured an encouraging 2-1 victory over Pescara. The home side are still looking for their first league win of the season, whereas the visitors are attempting to build on their second success of the campaign. With Sambenedettese ranked 19th and Atalanta II sitting 12th, this meeting represents an important opportunity for both clubs to improve their early-season position.

Sambenedettese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Sambenedettese have experienced a difficult opening to their Serie C campaign. After four league matches, their record stands at one draw and three defeats, leaving them without a victory. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per league game, numbers that underline the challenge they face at both ends of the pitch.

Their latest appearance ended in a 2-1 loss against Pineto. That result extended a sequence in which Sambenedettese have struggled to turn competitive performances into victories. Across their last five matches, the hosts have collected no wins, two draws and three defeats. During that period, they have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.8.

Despite their winless start, the scoring data suggests that Sambenedettese matches are not regularly ending without goals. Only four of their last 14 home fixtures in Serie C: Girone B finished with under 0.5 total goals. The same outcome occurred in five of their last 21 league matches and five of their last 23 games across the available overall sample. In other words, most of those contests produced at least one goal.

Playing at home gives Sambenedettese a chance to respond immediately to the Pineto defeat. However, they will need to improve a defensive record currently showing an average of 1.8 goals conceded per league match. Their own scoring average indicates that they can contribute offensively, but greater control will be required if they are to claim their first victory of the season.

Atalanta II Recent Form and Key Statistics

Atalanta II travel to this fixture after beating Pescara 2-1 on September 12. That victory lifted their league record to two wins and two defeats from four matches. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per game in Serie C: Girone B, placing them ahead of Sambenedettese after the opening rounds.

The visitors have also shown a more balanced return over their last five matches, recording two victories, one draw and two defeats. Their scoring average across those games is 1.2 goals, while the average number conceded is 1.4. Those figures describe a side capable of winning matches but not yet consistently keeping opponents from scoring.

The split between home and away results is one of the main themes surrounding Atalanta II. They won both of their opening home games but lost both away fixtures. Their defeats on the road came against Livorno by a 1-0 scoreline and Vado by 2-0. Consequently, the trip to face Sambenedettese is another test of whether the visitors can reproduce their home performances away from their own ground.

A notable trend is the frequency of second-half goals in Atalanta II matches. There has been over 0.5 goal after half-time in 21 of their last 23 games. This does not determine which team will score, but it suggests that their fixtures often continue to produce decisive action after the interval. Patience could therefore be important in a contest involving two teams with reasons to push for a positive result.

Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II Match Analysis

The available numbers give Atalanta II a narrow advantage, although they do not point to a one-sided encounter. The visitors have a 41% win probability, compared with 31% for Sambenedettese and 27% for the draw. Atalanta II also arrive with the confidence provided by their victory over Pescara, while the hosts remain winless after four league games.

At the same time, Atalanta II have yet to earn a point away from home this season. Losses at Livorno and Vado raise an important question about their ability to handle another trip, especially against a Sambenedettese side under pressure to produce a response. The home team’s poor overall record makes them difficult to support with complete confidence, but the visitors’ contrasting home and away results prevent their statistical edge from being decisive.

The goals markets are similarly balanced. Both teams to score is divided evenly, with Yes and No each assessed at 50%. For the 2.5-goal line, the probability is 56% for the Under and 44% for the Over. These percentages suggest that a very high-scoring contest is not the leading scenario, even though the teams’ recent scoring and conceding averages leave room for more than one goal.

Sambenedettese’s last-five-match averages combine to 3.0 total goals per fixture, while the corresponding Atalanta II figures combine to 2.6. Both sides scored in their most recent 2-1 results, although those matches ended very differently for them. Together with the recurring second-half goal trend in Atalanta II games, the data supports the possibility of the score moving beyond a single goal without requiring an especially open match.

Overall, this Serie C preview presents a contest between a home side seeking its first victory and an away team trying to correct an unproductive record on the road. Atalanta II hold the stronger season record and the higher win probability, but their two away defeats add caution to the result market. A match containing at least two goals appears more coherent with the combined statistical picture, while still allowing for a relatively tight final score.

Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 69% probability.