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Sampdoria
5:30 PM
October 18, 2026
Arezzo
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 5:32 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 5:32 PM
Sampdoria host Arezzo on October 18 in the seventh round of Italy’s Serie B, with kick-off at 17:30 local time at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The home side are 19th after a difficult opening six matches, while Arezzo sit 12th with seven points. Sampdoria’s need for a response sharpened after a 4-1 defeat at Avellino; the visitors arrive following a 0-0 draw with Cremonese. Both teams have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per league match this season, making their defensive records a central question in this Sampdoria vs Arezzo preview. Their recent attacking numbers, however, give each side reason to be cautious about expecting a straightforward turnaround.
Sampdoria have one win, one draw and four defeats from their first six Serie B fixtures. Across their last five matches, they have won once and lost four times, scoring an average of 1.0 goal while conceding 2.4 per game. The latest setback came on October 9, when Avellino beat them 4-1. That result left Sampdoria needing to address both the number of chances their opponents have converted and their own ability to stay competitive across a full match.
Corradi has been retained, but the defeat at Avellino increased the pressure around the team. Sampdoria’s overall league averages stand at 1.0 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Those figures underline the challenge facing the hosts: scoring once, as their average suggests, may not be enough if they continue to concede at their current rate. Playing at home offers an opportunity to respond, though their season record provides little basis for treating a recovery as assured.
There is also a distinction between Sampdoria’s full-match defensive problems and their first-half pattern. In 37 of their last 40 matches, at least one team had not scored by half-time. That statistic does not mean all those games were goalless at the interval, but it suggests that goals for both sides before the break have been uncommon. Whether Sampdoria can improve on their recent results may depend as much on limiting Arezzo’s opportunities as on finding a goal of their own.
Arezzo, newly promoted and aiming to remain in Serie B, have made a stronger start in terms of points. Their record after six matches is two wins, one draw and three defeats. They won away at Empoli before losing to Sudtirol, then drew 0-0 with Cremonese on October 10. That sequence shows they can collect points in different circumstances, but it has not produced a sustained run of results.
The visitors’ recent scoring record is a concern ahead of this trip. Over their last five matches, Arezzo have averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, with one win, one draw and three defeats. Their season-long scoring average is higher, at 1.0 goal per league game, yet their defensive average remains 2.2 conceded. Sampdoria’s own record may offer openings, but Arezzo will need a better attacking return than they have managed across those five fixtures to take advantage.
Arezzo’s away-match trends point to restrained first halves. Their last 21 away matches have all featured under 1.5 first-half goals, and at least one team failed to score before the interval in each of them. The under 1.5 first-half goals pattern also extends across their last 13 matches overall. Their away fixtures have tended to produce limited corner totals as well: fewer than 10.5 corners in 19 of the last 20, including fewer than 7.5 in each of the last five. These trends describe previous matches rather than guaranteeing the same pattern against Sampdoria.
The contrast in league position favors Arezzo, but neither side comes into this fixture with convincing recent form. Sampdoria have lost four of their last five; Arezzo have lost three of theirs and scored only 0.4 goals per game over that stretch. At the same time, both teams’ season averages of 2.2 goals conceded per match leave room for either attack to have an impact. For Sampdoria, the immediate task is to avoid another defensive performance like the one at Avellino. For Arezzo, it is to turn a vulnerable opposing defense into more chances and goals than they have produced recently.
The first-half data tempers expectations of both teams scoring early, particularly given Arezzo’s long run of away games with no more than one goal before the break. Over the full match, though, the defensive figures on both sides keep the prospect of goals for each team in view. Arezzo’s recent lack of scoring is the clearest counterpoint, while Sampdoria’s poor results make it difficult to rely on home advantage alone. This leaves a finely balanced match in which neither side’s defensive record offers much reassurance.
Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sampdoria
Arezzo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
7
3