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Prediction published on Dec 5, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Dec 5, 2025 8:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Carrarese at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Sunday, December 7, promises to be a crucial one for both sides. The hosts are in desperate need of points to climb out of the relegation zone, while the visitors are struggling to rediscover their early-season form. With both teams coming off disappointing results, this encounter could prove decisive in shaping their campaigns as the season approaches its midpoint.
Sampdoria find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 19th in the Serie B standings with just two wins from 14 matches. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat to Spezia on November 30, extending a worrying run of inconsistency. Over their last five league matches, the Blucerchiati have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. These numbers underline the team’s offensive struggles and defensive fragility.
At home, Sampdoria have shown slightly better resilience, with two wins and two draws in their last five appearances at the Ferraris. However, they remain one of the league’s weakest sides in terms of overall results, having suffered eight defeats already this season. The team’s inability to start games strongly is also notable — they have failed to lead at half-time in their last 16 matches, including all 15 in Serie B. Furthermore, under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 11 home league fixtures, suggesting a cautious approach or a lack of early attacking sharpness.
Despite these struggles, there are small signs of improvement. Sampdoria have managed to find the net more consistently at home in recent weeks, and the support of their fans could play a key role in reigniting their fight for survival. With the playout zone just three points away, this match represents a vital opportunity to regain momentum and confidence.
Carrarese arrive in Genoa sitting 13th in the table, but their recent form has been far from reassuring. The Tuscan side suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat to Palermo on November 29, a result that extended their winless streak to five matches (three losses and two draws). During this period, they have averaged only 0.4 goals scored per game while conceding 2.0, a stark contrast to their promising start to the season.
Over the course of the campaign, Carrarese have recorded three wins, seven draws, and four defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their away record remains a major concern — they have failed to win in 19 of their last 20 away games. Nonetheless, their matches on the road tend to be open affairs, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 11 away fixtures. The second halves of these games have also been lively, with at least one goal scored after the break in all of them.
Carrarese’s attack has shown flashes of quality, having scored 18 goals this season, nine of which came away from home. However, their defensive record remains problematic, and their inability to maintain concentration over 90 minutes has cost them valuable points. Facing a desperate Sampdoria side, they will need to tighten up at the back while capitalizing on any counterattacking opportunities that arise.
This fixture brings together two teams in crisis, both searching for a turning point. Sampdoria must adopt a proactive approach, as only a victory will suffice to revive their season. The home side’s main challenge lies in balancing their attacking intent with defensive stability, given their tendency to concede when pushing forward. The partnership of Gregucci and Foti on the bench has yet to deliver results, but the Ferraris crowd will expect a reaction.
Carrarese, on the other hand, will likely approach the game with caution, aware of Sampdoria’s urgency but also of their own defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent heavy defeats against Palermo, Frosinone, and Cesena have exposed structural weaknesses, particularly when facing teams that press high and attack with width. Still, their ability to score away from home suggests they could trouble Sampdoria’s backline if given space.
Historically, this matchup has been balanced. The last head-to-head ended 1-0 in April 2025, and overall, Sampdoria have yet to beat Carrarese in recent meetings (one draw and one loss). Given both sides’ current form, another tight and low-scoring encounter could be on the cards, though the hosts’ desperation might lead to a more open contest than usual.
The most likely outcome is a Sampdoria win (1) with a 45% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 30%, while a Carrarese win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sampdoria
Carrarese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1