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Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 4:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Empoli promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the battle to avoid relegation. Scheduled for Monday, April 6, this match at the Ferraris Stadium brings together two sides separated by just two points in the standings. With Sampdoria sitting 15th on 34 points and Empoli 12th on 36, both teams know that a win could provide a crucial boost toward safety, while a defeat might drag them dangerously close to the drop zone.
Sampdoria approach this fixture after a much-needed 2-1 victory over Avellino on March 22, a result that ended a difficult run and restored some confidence before the international break. In their last five matches, the Blucerchiati have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their Serie B record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
One of the most notable trends for Sampdoria has been their low-scoring first halves: Under 1.5 goals have been recorded in the first half of each of their last 14 league matches. This pattern suggests a cautious approach early in games, often followed by more open play after the break. Despite their struggles, the home side have shown resilience at times, particularly when playing in front of their supporters, where they tend to build their survival hopes.
Empoli arrive in Genoa with renewed confidence after a 4-2 home victory over Pescara on March 22. That win extended their unbeaten streak under their new coach to three matches, following draws against Mantova and Spezia. In their last five outings, the Tuscans have registered one win, two draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while conceding the same number. Their overall Serie B campaign shows a balanced record of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Empoli’s matches have been consistently entertaining and goal-filled. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 Serie B fixtures, and both teams have found the net in all of them. Away from home, the trend continues: Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in each of their last 19 away matches. This attacking mindset has helped them stay competitive, even when their defense has shown vulnerabilities.
This fixture is shaping up to be a direct battle for survival, with both sides under pressure to secure three points. The home team, led by a more pragmatic approach, will likely focus on defensive organization and look to capitalize on counterattacks. Empoli, on the other hand, have adopted a more aggressive style, often pushing forward with numbers and relying on their attacking momentum to outscore opponents.
Their recent head-to-head record is balanced: in the last five meetings, Sampdoria have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in October 2025, a result that reflected the competitive nature of this matchup. Given both teams’ defensive fragility and the importance of the result, this game could once again produce goals on both sides.
For Sampdoria, playing at home is a crucial advantage, but their lack of consistency in front of goal remains a concern. Empoli’s attacking form, combined with their tendency to concede, suggests that the match could open up quickly after the first goal. The psychological factor will also play a major role: neither team can afford to settle for a draw, as the relegation zone looms just a few points away.
Based on the statistical trends and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Serie B clash leans toward Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a probability of 49%. Sampdoria’s need to attack at home and Empoli’s consistent scoring record make this outcome the most plausible scenario for Monday’s crucial encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sampdoria
Empoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2