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Prediction published on Nov 22, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Nov 22, 2025 8:02 PM
The thirteenth round of Serie B concludes on Monday, November 24, with Sampdoria hosting Juve Stabia at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genoa. It is a crucial fixture for the home side, who find themselves in deep trouble at the bottom of the table. The arrival of the coaching duo Gregucci-Foti has not yet produced the desired turnaround, as the Blucerchiati continue to struggle both in results and confidence. Their recent defeats to Venezia and Mantova, the latter at home in a must-win match, have only deepened the crisis. With just one victory in twelve league games and seven losses, Sampdoria currently hold the worst record in the division. In contrast, Juve Stabia travel north in a far more comfortable position, sitting in eighth place and still within the playoff zone despite some recent inconsistency. The match at Marassi promises to be a test of resilience for the hosts and a chance for the visitors to consolidate their strong start to the campaign.
Sampdoria are enduring one of their toughest seasons in recent memory. The Genoese side have collected only 7 points from 12 matches (1 win, 4 draws, 7 defeats), scoring an average of 0.9 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their last five outings have yielded no victories, with two draws and three losses, including a 3-1 defeat to Venezia on November 8. The team’s attacking inefficiency has been a major concern, as they often struggle to convert chances into goals. Defensively, lapses in concentration have cost them dearly, particularly in the second half of matches.
At home, the Blucerchiati have found little comfort. Although the Marassi crowd remains passionate, the stadium has not been a fortress for quite some time. Notably, Under 1.5 goals have been recorded at half time in each of their last ten home league games, and they have failed to lead at the break in 22 of their last 23 matches overall. These figures highlight a team that starts slowly and rarely imposes itself early in games. The coaching staff will be hoping that the return to Genoa can spark a reaction, but confidence remains fragile after a long run of disappointing results.
Juve Stabia approach this fixture in a far more positive mood. The Campanian side are currently eighth in Serie B with 17 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 5 draws, 2 defeats). Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 victory over Palermo, a result that helped them bounce back from a 3-0 loss to Modena and a 2-2 draw with Padova. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. While their defensive record away from home remains a concern — they have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures — their attacking play has been consistent enough to keep them competitive.
Historically, Juve Stabia have struggled to dominate this matchup, with a head-to-head record of one win, three draws, and one defeat against Sampdoria. The last meeting between the two sides ended in a goalless draw on May 13, 2025. However, the visitors’ current form and organization suggest they could take advantage of Sampdoria’s ongoing crisis. Their ability to stay compact and strike on the counter has been a key factor in their success since returning to Serie B, and they will look to exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of their hosts once again.
This encounter pits two teams with contrasting trajectories. Sampdoria are desperate for a spark to revive their season, while Juve Stabia continue to build on the momentum that carried them to a playoff berth last year. The home side’s main challenge lies in finding balance between attack and defense. Their inability to keep clean sheets, combined with a lack of cutting edge up front, has left them vulnerable in nearly every match. The visitors, on the other hand, have shown resilience and tactical discipline, often managing to stay in games even when under pressure.
Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring contest could be on the cards. Sampdoria’s matches often feature cautious first halves, while Juve Stabia’s away games tend to open up after the break — with Over 0.5 goals in the second half occurring in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. Both teams have struggled to dominate early, and the outcome may hinge on which side can capitalize on second-half opportunities. For Sampdoria, rediscovering their scoring touch at home will be crucial; for Juve Stabia, maintaining defensive focus could secure another valuable result on the road.
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% probability. Both teams have shown limited attacking efficiency in recent weeks, and their previous encounters have often been tight, low-scoring affairs. A cautious approach from both sides could once again lead to a match decided by fine margins.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0