Tools
Sampdoria
0 - 3
FT
Monza
Prediction published on Apr 15, 2026 7:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 15, 2026 7:01 PM
The thirty-fifth round of Serie B opens on Friday, April 17, with an intriguing clash between Sampdoria and Monza. Both teams arrive in good form and with clear objectives: the home side are looking to secure safety and perhaps dream of a late push toward the playoff zone, while the visitors are fighting for direct promotion. The match promises to be tight and tactical, with both sides aware that every point could prove decisive in the final stretch of the season.
Sampdoria have rediscovered their rhythm after a difficult period, collecting three consecutive victories that have lifted them to 40 points in the Serie B table. Their recent 1-2 win away at Pescara on April 11 confirmed the team’s growing confidence and stability. In their last five matches, the Blucerchiati have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Over the course of the season, Sampdoria’s record stands at 10 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly solid, losing just one of their last ten games at the Ferraris. The team’s defensive improvement has been key, as shown by the fact that Under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in each of their last 16 Serie B fixtures, and Under 3.5 goals in their last 10 overall.
With the home crowd behind them, Sampdoria will aim to maintain their momentum and secure another positive result that could mathematically guarantee safety while keeping faint playoff hopes alive.
Monza approach this fixture in strong form, sitting third in the Serie B standings and just three points behind the league leaders. Their 2-0 victory over Bari 1908 on April 11 ended a run of three consecutive draws and reaffirmed their promotion credentials. In their last five matches, the Brianzoli have remained unbeaten, with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.4.
Throughout the season, Monza have been one of the most consistent sides in the division, boasting a record of 20 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats. Their defensive solidity has been a major strength, with just 0.8 goals conceded per match on average. Away from home, they tend to control the tempo and limit risks — Under 7.5 corners have been recorded in each of their last four away games, and Under 0.5 goals have occurred in 2 of their last 10 away fixtures. However, they often come alive after the break, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 21 matches.
Monza’s ambition is clear: to secure a return to the top flight. A win in Genoa would put them back in contention for automatic promotion, but they will face a determined opponent and a challenging atmosphere at the Ferraris.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting goals but similar momentum. Sampdoria are fighting to confirm their resurgence, while Monza are chasing the dream of direct promotion. The hosts rely on their defensive organization and home advantage, while the visitors count on their superior squad depth and disciplined backline.
Historically, Monza have had the upper hand in this matchup, with a head-to-head record showing 2 wins and 1 draw in their last three meetings, including a 1-0 victory in September 2025. The average goals in these encounters have been low — just 0.7 scored by Sampdoria and 2.0 conceded on average — suggesting another tight contest could be on the cards.
Given the statistical trends, the match is likely to be cautious, especially in the first half. Sampdoria’s recent games have consistently featured few goals, while Monza’s defensive numbers underline their ability to control proceedings. Both sides will be wary of taking unnecessary risks, knowing that a single mistake could decide the outcome.
Expect a balanced and tactical battle, with both teams focusing on structure rather than spectacle. The home side’s resilience and the visitors’ efficiency could cancel each other out, leading to a low-scoring affair.
Sampdoria vs Monza prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sampdoria
Monza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1